K League 1 · 2026-09-20T10:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 30

Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul

2 – 1 Full time

3′			Kento Nishiya
28′			Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira
39′			Hwang Seo-woong
45′			Yazan Al-Arab
45′			Kim Dong-Jin
51′			Patryk Klimala
59′			Son Jeong-BeomLee Seung-mo
59′			Won Ki-jongJuninho Rocha
63′			Ki Sung-Yueng
74′			Ki Sung-YuengJakob Tranziska
74′			Shin Kwang-HoonEo Jeong-Won
90′			Kento NishiyaKim Seung-Ho
90′			Moon Seon-minJeong Hyeon-Woo
90′			Hong Sung-min
90′			Jeong Seung-WonCheon Seong-hoon

Sangju Civic Stadium, SangjuReferee: Song Min-Seok

Pohang Steelers

19%

Draw

26%

FC Seoul

56%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

6	Shots	10
3	Shots on target	3
32	Possession %	68
3	Corners	4

Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Pohang Steelers	Draw	FC Seoul
Model	11.1%	21.6%	67.3%
Market	21.1%	27.3%	51.6%
Final	18.6%	25.9%	55.5%
Edge	-10.0%	-5.7%	+15.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Seoul

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.71.
Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices FC Seoul below the model: +15.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

77%

3+ goals

52%

No goals

Pohang Steelers and FC Seoul expected goals

Pohang Steelers

0.71

FC Seoul

2.03

Total expected goals: 2.74

Pohang Steelers and FC Seoul attack and defence ratings

Pohang Steelers

Attack

0.75 -25%

Defence

1.11 +11%

FC Seoul

Attack

1.49 +49%

Defence

0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul: result vs prediction

Pohang Steelers 2 – 1 FC Seoul

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

K League 1

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
FC Anyang vs Ulsan Hyundai FC · 2026-09-19
Gangwon FC v Jeju United FC — match page · 2026-09-20
Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC — team news & stats · 2026-09-20
Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Pohang Steelers, previous: Daejeon Citizen v Pohang Steelers analysis
Pohang Steelers, next: Incheon United v Pohang Steelers analysis
FC Seoul, previous: Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul prediction
FC Seoul, next: FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC: odds and pick

Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	FC Seoul	55.5%	1.80	+15.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	51.5%	1.94	—	—
Both teams to score	No	54.9%	1.82	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	81.4%	1.23	—	—
Handicap -1	FC Seoul win	43.1%	2.32	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Pohang Steelers	18.6%
	Draw	25.9%
	FC Seoul	55.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	51.5%
	Under 2.5	48.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	45.1%
	No	54.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	44.5%
	12 (either side)	74.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	81.4%
Handicap -1	FC Seoul win	43.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	24.2%
	Loss	32.7%
Correct score (top 3)	0-2	13.3%
	0-1	12.2%
	1-1	10.3%

Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul stats

Pohang Steelers and FC Seoul recent form

newest first

Pohang Steelers	DDLDWL
FC Seoul	WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pohang Steelers and FC Seoul going into this match

league record before kick-off

Pohang Steelers record

They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
They have failed to score in 12 of 29 matches.
They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Seoul record

They have won 19 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Pohang Steelers wins 3Draws 4FC Seoul wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-07-22	FC Seoul	Pohang Steelers	K League 1	3-1
2026-03-18	Pohang Steelers	FC Seoul	K League 1	0-1
2025-11-09	Pohang Steelers	FC Seoul	K League 1	0-0
2025-10-18	FC Seoul	Pohang Steelers	K League 1	1-2
2025-06-29	FC Seoul	Pohang Steelers	K League 1	4-1
2025-04-27	Pohang Steelers	FC Seoul	K League 1	1-0
2024-11-02	FC Seoul	Pohang Steelers	K League 1	1-1
2024-08-11	Pohang Steelers	FC Seoul	K League 1	1-2
2024-07-17	Pohang Steelers	FC Seoul	FA Cup	5-1
2024-05-25	Pohang Steelers	FC Seoul	K League 1	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.1%, draw 27.3%, away 51.6%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	4.48	3.36	1.82
Bet365	4.20	3.40	1.80
BetVictor	4.40	3.40	1.80
Betano	4.50	3.40	1.80
Betfair	4.33	3.50	1.80
Marathonbet	4.50	3.36	1.80
Pinnacle	4.70	3.51	1.86
SBO	3.63	3.02	1.84
William Hill	4.20	3.25	1.83

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.40 ▲ +0.01

X 3.40 ▲ +0.05

2 1.80 ▼ -0.05

11 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-15T08:10:02Z.