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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 31

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers

3 – 0 Full time

17′Lee Min-hyuk
40′Lee Chung-Yong
42′Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira
45′Stefan Mugoša
45′Shin Kwang-HoonJakob Tranziska
63′Kim Seong-MinLee Dong-ryul
65′Park Chan-yong
65′Ki Sung-YuengJung Han-Min
65′Kento NishiyaKim Seung-Ho
71′Stefan MugošaMorgan Ferrier
71′Leandro RibeiroGerso Fernandes
77′Jorge Luiz Barbosa TeixeiraAn Jae-Joon
81′Lee Chung-YongPark Seung-ho
81′Lee Myung-JooSeo Jae-min
83′Eo Jeong-WonKang Min-jun

Incheon Football Stadium, IncheonReferee: Ko Hyung-jin

Incheon United 41%
Draw 31%
Pohang Steelers 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
52 Possession % 48
2 Corners 11

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIncheon UnitedDrawPohang Steelers
Model39.1%32.9%28.0%
Market41.5%30.1%28.4%
Final40.9%30.8%28.3%
Edge-2.4%+2.8%-0.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Incheon United ↓ / Pohang Steeler → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 11% 1 13% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Incheon United and Pohang Steelers expected goals

Incheon United 1.13
Pohang Steelers 0.91

Total expected goals: 2.04

Incheon United and Pohang Steelers attack and defence ratings

Incheon United

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Pohang Steelers

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers: result vs prediction

Incheon United 3 – 0 Pohang Steelers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Incheon United 40.9% 2.45 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.5% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score No 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.7% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.9% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Incheon United40.9%
Draw30.8%
Pohang Steelers28.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.5%
Under 2.566.5%
Both teams to scoreYes41.9%
No58.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.7%
12 (either side)69.2%
X2 (draw or away)59.1%
Handicap -1Incheon United win16.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss60.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-014.3%
1-013.3%

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers stats

Incheon United and Pohang Steelers recent form

newest first
Incheon United DDLWLD
Pohang Steelers WDDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Incheon United and Pohang Steelers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Incheon United record

  • They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pohang Steelers record

  • They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Incheon United wins 4Draws 5Pohang Steelers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-12Incheon UnitedPohang SteelersK League 10-1
2026-03-15Pohang SteelersIncheon UnitedK League 11-1
2024-09-27Pohang SteelersIncheon UnitedK League 11-0
2024-06-23Incheon UnitedPohang SteelersK League 11-3
2024-04-28Pohang SteelersIncheon UnitedK League 10-0
2023-10-20Pohang SteelersIncheon UnitedK League 11-1
2023-09-02Incheon UnitedPohang SteelersK League 10-2
2023-06-25Incheon UnitedPohang SteelersK League 10-1
2023-04-30Pohang SteelersIncheon UnitedK League 10-2
2022-10-16Incheon UnitedPohang SteelersK League 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 30.1%, away 28.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.24 3.10 3.33
Bet365 2.20 3.10 3.20
BetVictor 2.30 3.00 3.25
Betano 2.30 3.05 3.25
Betfair 2.20 3.10 3.30
Dafabet 2.34 3.20 3.35
Marathonbet 2.22 3.10 3.32
Pinnacle 2.34 3.18 3.37
SBO 2.13 2.86 3.02
William Hill 2.25 2.90 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▲ +0.04
X 3.10 —
2 3.27 ▼ -0.06

12 snapshots recorded, from .