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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 32

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United

1 – 1 Full time

23′Stefan Mugoša
42′Kim Dae-won
56′Morgan FerrierKim Seong-Min
56′Leandro RibeiroGerso Fernandes
66′Choe Byeong-chanKim Gun-hee
66′Lee Seung-WonLee You-hyeon
71′Lee Chung-YongPark Seung-ho
71′Lee Min-hyukSeo Jae-min
72′Gerso Fernandes
78′Goh Young-jun
79′Juan Ibiza
89′Abdelkarim ChaoucheKang Joon-Hyuck
89′Goh Young-junPark Sang-Hyeok
90′Seo Min-wooKim Dong-hyeon

Chuncheon Songam Sports Town, ChuncheonReferee: Tae-Hwan Seol

Gangwon FC 40%
Draw 31%
Incheon United 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
64 Possession % 36
7 Corners 1

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gangwon FC vs Incheon United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGangwon FCDrawIncheon United
Model31.6%33.7%34.7%
Market42.5%30.1%27.5%
Final39.8%31.0%29.3%
Edge-10.8%+3.6%+7.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gangwon FC ↓ / Incheon United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 13% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Gangwon FC and Incheon United expected goals

Gangwon FC 0.96
Incheon United 1.02

Total expected goals: 1.98

Gangwon FC and Incheon United attack and defence ratings

Gangwon FC

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Incheon United

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United: result vs prediction

Gangwon FC 1 – 1 Incheon United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gangwon FC 39.8% 2.51 -10.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.1% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 59.1% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.7% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.3% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gangwon FC39.8%
Draw31.0%
Incheon United29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.9%
Under 2.568.1%
Both teams to scoreYes40.9%
No59.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)60.2%
Handicap -1Gangwon FC win12.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss68.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.1%
1-114.9%
0-112.7%

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United stats

Gangwon FC and Incheon United recent form

newest first
Gangwon FC WDLDDW
Incheon United WDDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gangwon FC and Incheon United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gangwon FC record

  • They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Incheon United record

  • They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Gangwon FC wins 3Draws 2Incheon United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-27Gangwon FCIncheon UnitedK League 10-0
2026-05-02Incheon UnitedGangwon FCK League 10-1
2024-10-06Incheon UnitedGangwon FCK League 11-3
2024-06-30Incheon UnitedGangwon FCK League 10-1
2024-04-21Gangwon FCIncheon UnitedK League 14-1
2023-09-24Gangwon FCIncheon UnitedK League 11-1
2023-07-02Incheon UnitedGangwon FCK League 11-0
2023-04-16Gangwon FCIncheon UnitedK League 10-2
2022-10-08Gangwon FCIncheon UnitedK League 10-0
2022-09-02Incheon UnitedGangwon FCK League 10-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 30.0%, away 27.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.21 3.10 3.39
Bet365 2.15 3.00 3.40
BetVictor 2.15 3.10 3.50
Betano 2.25 3.05 3.35
Betfair 2.15 3.30 3.30
Dafabet 2.30 3.15 3.45
Marathonbet 2.19 3.10 3.38
Pinnacle 2.24 3.22 3.54
SBO 2.15 2.85 3.00
William Hill 2.20 3.00 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.01
X 3.10 —
2 3.40 —

12 snapshots recorded, from .