FC Seoul
vs
Gangwon FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Seoul
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC
| Probability | FC Seoul | Draw | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.2% | 27.0% | 23.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.2% | 27.0% | 23.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Seoul
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC match preview
FC Seoul faces Gangwon FC in a K League 1 matchup where the probabilities indicate a 50% chance of a home win for FC Seoul, while a draw is at 28% and Gangwon FC sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of FC Seoul, with an 11% probability. Expected goals suggest FC Seoul will generate 1.56, compared to Gangwon FC's 0.96, highlighting a potential advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, FC Seoul has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Gangwon FC has achieved two wins, two draws, and two losses in the same period. The head-to-head record over the last six encounters favors FC Seoul, who have secured three victories, alongside two draws and one win for Gangwon FC.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Seoul and Gangwon FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
FC Seoul and Gangwon FC attack and defence ratings
FC Seoul
Gangwon FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Seoul | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Seoul | 49.2% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Gangwon FC | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Seoul win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC stats
FC Seoul and Gangwon FC recent form
| FC Seoul |
DWLWLW |
| Gangwon FC |
DWDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Seoul and Gangwon FC season so far
FC Seoul record
- They have won 20 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gangwon FC record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | FC Seoul | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gangwon FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-26 | FC Seoul | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Gangwon FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 3-2 |
| 2025-06-17 | FC Seoul | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Gangwon FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.