Bucheon FC 1995
vs
Gwangju FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gwangju FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
| Probability | Bucheon FC 1995 | Draw | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.3% | 23.6% | 44.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.3% | 23.6% | 44.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gwangju FC
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC match preview
Bucheon FC 1995 faces Gwangju FC in an upcoming K League 1 match, with the probabilities indicating a 33% chance of a Bucheon win, a 25% likelihood of a draw, and a 42% chance for Gwangju to secure victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.58 for Bucheon and 1.80 for Gwangju.
In terms of recent form, Bucheon has struggled, recording four losses and two draws in their last six matches. Meanwhile, Gwangju has shown slightly better form with one win, three draws, and two losses in the same period. There is a strong expectation for over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 67%, suggesting an engaging match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.58
Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC attack and defence ratings
Bucheon FC 1995
Gwangju FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gwangju FC | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 32.3% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Gwangju FC | 44.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gwangju FC win | 25.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC stats
Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC recent form
| Bucheon FC 1995 |
LLLDLL |
| Gwangju FC |
LWDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC season so far
Bucheon FC 1995 record
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 31 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gwangju FC record
- They have won 2 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Bucheon FC 1995 | Gwangju FC | K League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gwangju FC | Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.