K League 1
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Ulsan Hyundai FC
vs
Bucheon FC 1995
2 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Park Jeong-in | ||
| 45′ | Thiago Nascimento dos Santos | ||
| 45′ | Cho Hyun-Taek | ||
| 45′ | Lee Gyu-sungErick Farias | ||
| 48′ | Seung-bin Kim | ||
| 53′ | Kazuki Takahashi | ||
| 54′ | Lee Jin-Hyun | ||
| 60′ | Seung-bin Kim | ||
| 65′ | Kim Min-JunJefferson Fernando Isidio | ||
| 65′ | Park Jeong-inKim Sang-jun | ||
| 77′ | Jung Seung-Hyun | ||
| 77′ | Jo Seong-junLee Jae-Won | ||
| 77′ | Thiago Nascimento dos SantosAn Tae-hyun | ||
| 82′ | Yago Cariello Ribeiro | ||
| 87′ | Darijan BojanićYong-Woo Park | ||
| 87′ | Lee Jin-HyunKang Sang-Woo | ||
| 89′ | Kazuki TakahashiGustavo | ||
| 90′ | Choi Seok-hyeonYoon Jong-Gyu | ||
| 90′ | Kang Sang-WooJang Si-young |
Ulsan Hyundai FC
57%
Draw
24%
Bucheon FC 1995
20%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
| Probability | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Draw | Bucheon FC 1995 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.8% | 22.4% | 20.8% |
| Market | 56.6% | 23.9% | 19.5% |
| Final | 56.6% | 23.5% | 19.9% |
| Edge | +0.1% | -0.4% | +0.3% |
Why Ulsan Hyundai FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
66%
No goals
4%
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 expected goals
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2.13
Bucheon FC 1995
1.24
Total expected goals: 3.37
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 attack and defence ratings
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Bucheon FC 1995
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
1.33 +33%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995: result vs prediction
Ulsan Hyundai FC 2 – 1 Bucheon FC 1995
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 56.6% | 1.77 | +0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 56.6% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% |
| No | 36.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulsan Hyundai FC win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 stats
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 recent form
| Ulsan Hyundai FC |
LLWWDW |
| Bucheon FC 1995 |
LLDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 going into this match
Ulsan Hyundai FC record
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bucheon FC 1995 record
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 31 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
2Ulsan Hyundai FC wins
1Draws
0Bucheon FC 1995 wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Bucheon FC 1995 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2022-06-29 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Bucheon FC 1995 | FA Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.5%, draw 23.9%, away 19.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.92 | 4.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.92 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.99 | 4.96 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.56 | 4.19 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.65 ▼ -0.02
X
3.91 ▲ +0.04
2
4.78 ▲ +0.08
10 snapshots recorded, from .