Ulsan Hyundai FC
vs
Bucheon FC 1995
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
| Probability | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Draw | Bucheon FC 1995 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.4% | 24.0% | 18.6% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 57.4% | 24.0% | 18.6% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Ulsan Hyundai FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 match preview
Ulsan Hyundai FC is set to face Bucheon FC 1995 in their upcoming K League 1 match on October 17, 2026. According to our model, Ulsan has a 57% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 24% and Bucheon at 19%. The expected goals for Ulsan are 1.92 compared to Bucheon's 1.02, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from Ulsan. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring at a 10% probability.
Recent form shows Ulsan Hyundai FC with a mixed record of L-W-W-D-W-L, while Bucheon FC 1995 has struggled, recording L-L-D-L-L-D in their last matches. In their last two encounters, Ulsan has secured two victories over Bucheon, with no draws or wins for the latter. Both teams are projected to score, with a 56% likelihood for over 2.5 goals as well.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 attack and defence ratings
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Bucheon FC 1995
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 57.4% | 1.74 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% | 1.23 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 57.4% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulsan Hyundai FC win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.7% |
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 stats
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 recent form
| LWWDWL | |
| LLDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 season so far
Ulsan Hyundai FC record
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bucheon FC 1995 record
- They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 30 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Bucheon FC 1995 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.