Ulsan Hyundai FC
vs
Pohang Steelers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers
| Probability | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Draw | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.8% | 25.1% | 17.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.8% | 25.1% | 17.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ulsan Hyundai FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers match preview
Ulsan Hyundai FC faces Pohang Steelers in a K League 1 matchup with Ulsan holding a 55% probability of victory according to our model. The expected goals for Ulsan is 1.89, while Pohang is projected at 1.08, indicating a potential advantage for the home side. Recent form shows Ulsan with two wins and a draw in their last five matches, while Pohang has struggled, managing only one win in the same period.
The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Ulsan, with a 57% chance for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. In their last five encounters, Ulsan has secured 1 win, while Pohang has 2 wins and 2 draws, highlighting a competitive rivalry. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Pohang Steelers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Pohang Steelers attack and defence ratings
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Pohang Steelers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 57.8% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Pohang Steelers | 17.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulsan Hyundai FC win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 42.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | |
| 2-0 | 11.1% |
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers stats
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Pohang Steelers recent form
| Ulsan Hyundai FC |
WLLWWD |
| Pohang Steelers |
DLWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Pohang Steelers season so far
Ulsan Hyundai FC record
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pohang Steelers record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Pohang Steelers | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Pohang Steelers | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-05 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Pohang Steelers | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.