Ulsan Hyundai FC
vs
Gangwon FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Ulsan Hyundai FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC
| Probability | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Draw | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.0% | 27.9% | 32.2% |
| Market | 43.4% | 27.5% | 29.1% |
| Final | 42.6% | 27.6% | 29.9% |
| Edge | -0.9% | +0.1% | +0.8% |
Why Ulsan Hyundai FC
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.28, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.9% per unit staked (our 42.6% × 2.28 − 1).
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC match preview
Ulsan Hyundai FC faces Gangwon FC in a K League 1 matchup, with Ulsan holding a 40% probability of winning, while Gangwon has a 32% chance. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Ulsan, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 57%, and there is a 52% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Ulsan Hyundai FC has recorded a mix of results with two wins in their last six matches, while Gangwon FC has drawn four of their last six encounters. Head-to-head statistics show Ulsan has won once, with Gangwon claiming three victories in their last six meetings. The expected goals for Ulsan are 1.46 and for Gangwon 1.29, indicating a competitive match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gangwon FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gangwon FC attack and defence ratings
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Gangwon FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 42.6% | 2.35 | -0.9% | 2.28 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 42.6% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Gangwon FC | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulsan Hyundai FC win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 60.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC stats
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gangwon FC recent form
| Ulsan Hyundai FC |
DWLLWW |
| Gangwon FC |
DDWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gangwon FC season so far
Ulsan Hyundai FC record
- They have won 15 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gangwon FC record
- They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 2-3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gangwon FC | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-27 | Gangwon FC | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Gangwon FC | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 27.5%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.40 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15 | 3.54 | 3.34 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.02 | 2.85 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .