Jeonbuk Motors
vs
Daejeon Citizen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Daejeon Citizen
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.48.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen
| Probability | Jeonbuk Motors | Draw | Daejeon Citizen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.2% | 23.7% | 48.1% |
| Market | 38.1% | 27.5% | 34.4% |
| Final | 35.6% | 26.6% | 37.8% |
| Edge | -2.5% | -1.0% | +3.4% |
Why Daejeon Citizen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.48.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Daejeon Citizen below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +5.9% per unit staked (our 37.8% × 2.80 − 1).
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen match preview
Jeonbuk Motors face Daejeon Citizen in a K League 1 matchup where the model indicates a competitive encounter. Jeonbuk Motors have a 28% probability of winning, while Daejeon Citizen leads with a 48% chance. The expected goals suggest Jeonbuk will score 1.48 and Daejeon 1.96, aligning with the model's most likely scoreline of 1-2, which has a 9% probability.
Recent form shows Jeonbuk Motors with mixed results, recording D-W-L-D-L-D, while Daejeon Citizen is in strong form with W-W-W-D-D-W. Both teams have a 67% probability of scoring, and there is also a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. The head-to-head record favors Jeonbuk with 5 wins in the last 10 encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen attack and defence ratings
Jeonbuk Motors
Daejeon Citizen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Daejeon Citizen | 37.8% | 2.64 | +3.4% | 2.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 35.6% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Daejeon Citizen | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% |
| No | 32.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Daejeon Citizen win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 6.9% |
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen stats
Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen recent form
| Jeonbuk Motors |
DWLDLD |
| Daejeon Citizen |
WWWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen season so far
Jeonbuk Motors record
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Daejeon Citizen record
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Daejeon Citizen | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Jeonbuk Motors | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Daejeon Citizen | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Jeonbuk Motors | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Jeonbuk Motors | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-14 | Daejeon Citizen | Jeonbuk Motors | FA Cup | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-06 | Jeonbuk Motors | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Daejeon Citizen | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Jeonbuk Motors | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-22 | Daejeon Citizen | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 27.5%, away 34.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.44 | 3.34 | 2.73 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.35 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 3.34 | 2.73 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 3.41 | 2.80 |
| SBO | 2.33 | 3.14 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .