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K League 1 · Full time ·Championship Group - 35

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United

2 – 0 Full time

42′Lee Myung-Joo
45′Seo Jae-min
45′Gustav Ludwigson
55′Park Kyung-Sub
57′Kim Gun-hee
60′Park Seung-hoGerso Fernandes
60′Morgan FerrierStefan Mugoša
62′Joo Min-KyuDiogo Oliveira
68′Kim Seong-MinLee Dong-ryul
71′Diogo Oliveira
79′Lee Myung-Jae
80′Um Won-SangJoão Victor
80′Seo Jin-Su Kim Jun-Beom
83′Lee Sang-kiChoi Seung-gu
83′Lee Myung-JooLee Min-hyuk
89′Kang Yun-sungLee Soon-min
89′Gustav LudwigsonJeong Jae-hee

Daejeon World Cup Stadium, DaejeonReferee: Choi Cheol-jun

Daejeon Citizen 44%
Draw 27%
Incheon United 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
47 Possession % 53
5 Corners 1

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDaejeon CitizenDrawIncheon United
Model37.6%28.0%34.3%
Market46.4%27.3%26.3%
Final44.2%27.5%28.3%
Edge-2.2%+0.2%+2.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Daejeon Citize ↓ / Incheon United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United expected goals

Daejeon Citizen 1.40
Incheon United 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.73

Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United attack and defence ratings

Daejeon Citizen

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Incheon United

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United: result vs prediction

Daejeon Citizen 2 – 0 Incheon United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Championship Group - 35 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Daejeon Citizen 44.2% 2.26 -2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.4% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Daejeon Citizen44.2%
Draw27.5%
Incheon United28.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.5%
Under 2.548.5%
Both teams to scoreYes56.7%
No43.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.7%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)55.8%
Handicap -1Daejeon Citizen win18.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss62.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
2-18.5%
1-28.1%

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United stats

Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United recent form

newest first
Daejeon Citizen DWWWDD
Incheon United WWDWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Daejeon Citizen record

  • They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Incheon United record

  • They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Daejeon Citizen wins 3Draws 4Incheon United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-20Incheon UnitedDaejeon CitizenK League 11-1
2026-05-05Daejeon CitizenIncheon UnitedK League 10-0
2026-03-18Incheon UnitedDaejeon CitizenK League 11-3
2024-11-10Incheon UnitedDaejeon CitizenK League 11-2
2024-08-17Daejeon CitizenIncheon UnitedK League 12-1
2024-05-18Daejeon CitizenIncheon UnitedK League 10-1
2024-03-30Incheon UnitedDaejeon CitizenK League 12-0
2023-07-16Incheon UnitedDaejeon CitizenK League 12-0
2023-06-04Daejeon CitizenIncheon UnitedK League 11-3
2023-03-04Incheon UnitedDaejeon CitizenK League 13-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 27.3%, away 26.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 3.44 3.48
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.75
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 3.60
Betano 2.02 3.35 3.60
Betfair 2.00 3.40 3.50
Dafabet 2.06 3.50 3.70
Marathonbet 2.01 3.44 3.48
Pinnacle 2.05 3.55 3.73
SBO 2.04 2.98 3.08
William Hill 2.00 3.25 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.01 ▼ -0.02
X 3.42 ▲ +0.02
2 3.55 ▲ +0.05

12 snapshots recorded, from .