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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 32

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

2 – 2 Full time

22′Patryk Klimala
45′Kim Jin-Su
45′Hong Si-hooMin Kyeong-hyeon
45′Lee Sang-heon
45′Yoon Jae-Seok
50′Son Jeong-Beom
52′Patryk Klimala
60′Yoon Jae-SeokKim In-gyun
60′Park Jin-SeongPark Min-Seo
66′Juan Antonio Ros Martínez
67′Kim In-gyun
68′Son Jeong-BeomHwang Do-yoon
80′Byeon Jun-Soo
82′Moon Seon-minCho Young-wook
90′Kang Min-geuRoh Kyung-Ho
90′Lee Sang-heonJung Jae-min
90′Hwang Do-yoon

Seoul World Cup Stadium, SeoulReferee: Choi Cheol-jun

FC Seoul 59%
Draw 23%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
56 Possession % 44
4 Corners 6

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC SeoulDrawGimcheon Sangmu FC
Model52.7%28.0%19.2%
Market60.9%21.9%17.2%
Final58.9%23.5%17.7%
Edge-8.2%+6.1%+2.0%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Seoul

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Seoul ↓ / Gimcheon Sangm → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 13% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 10%

FC Seoul and Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected goals

FC Seoul 1.54
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.38

FC Seoul and Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack and defence ratings

FC Seoul

Attack 1.43 +43%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: result vs prediction

FC Seoul 2 – 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Seoul 58.9% 1.70 -8.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 54.1% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.3% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.2% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Seoul58.9%
Draw23.5%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC17.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.6%
Under 2.557.4%
Both teams to scoreYes45.9%
No54.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.3%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)41.1%
Handicap -1FC Seoul win28.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.5%
Loss47.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-013.0%
2-011.0%

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC stats

FC Seoul and Gimcheon Sangmu FC recent form

newest first
FC Seoul WLWLWW
Gimcheon Sangmu FC LWDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Seoul and Gimcheon Sangmu FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Seoul record

  • They have won 20 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4FC Seoul wins 3Draws 3Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08Gimcheon Sangmu FCFC SeoulK League 10-0
2026-05-02FC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 12-3
2025-11-22FC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 11-3
2025-08-17Gimcheon Sangmu FCFC SeoulK League 16-2
2025-05-28Gimcheon Sangmu FCFC SeoulK League 10-1
2025-03-03FC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 10-0
2024-11-23Gimcheon Sangmu FCFC SeoulK League 11-3
2024-07-21FC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 11-0
2024-05-28Gimcheon Sangmu FCFC SeoulK League 10-0
2024-04-03FC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 15-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.8%, draw 21.9%, away 17.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.55 4.25 5.26
Bet365 1.53 3.90 5.50
BetVictor 1.50 4.33 5.75
Betano 1.57 4.15 5.30
Betfair 1.50 4.33 5.50
Dafabet 1.60 4.40 5.40
Marathonbet 1.53 4.25 5.35
Pinnacle 1.55 4.50 5.64
SBO 1.51 3.71 4.68
William Hill 1.53 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.53 ▼ -0.07
X 4.25 ▲ +0.05
2 5.42 ▲ +0.42

12 snapshots recorded, from .