Gimcheon Sangmu FC
vs
FC Anyang
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang
| Probability | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Draw | FC Anyang |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 26.0% | 20.9% |
| Market | 46.4% | 26.2% | 27.4% |
| Final | 48.1% | 26.2% | 25.7% |
| Edge | +6.7% | -0.2% | -6.5% |
Why Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.01.
- The market prices Gimcheon Sangmu FC below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang match preview
Gimcheon Sangmu FC is set to face FC Anyang in a K League 1 match on October 10, 2026. According to our model, Gimcheon Sangmu FC has a 48% probability of winning, while both a draw and an FC Anyang victory are each at 26%. The expected goals for Gimcheon Sangmu FC stand at 1.73, compared to FC Anyang's 1.01, indicating a potential edge for the home side. The most likely scoreline projected is 1-0, with a 10% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Gimcheon Sangmu FC has recorded one win, three draws, and two losses in their last six matches. Meanwhile, FC Anyang's recent performance includes two wins, three draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows an even split, with each team securing three wins alongside four draws. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang attack and defence ratings
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
FC Anyang
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 48.1% | 2.08 | +6.7% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 48.1% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| FC Anyang | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC win | 30.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang stats
Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang recent form
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
WDDDLD |
| FC Anyang |
WDLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang season so far
Gimcheon Sangmu FC record
- They have won 5 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Anyang record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | FC Anyang | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | FC Anyang | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | FC Anyang | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 | 4-1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | FC Anyang | K League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | FC Anyang | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 | 1-3 |
| 2023-09-23 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | FC Anyang | K League 2 | 4-1 |
| 2023-07-31 | FC Anyang | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 2 | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-13 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | FC Anyang | K League 2 | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-09 | FC Anyang | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 2 | 2-2 |
| 2021-07-10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | FC Anyang | K League 2 | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 26.2%, away 27.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.54 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.54 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.79 | 3.44 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.07 | 3.14 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .