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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 31

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors

2 – 1 Full time

44′Cho Wi-Je
45′Tiago Orobó
45′Lee Soon-minMasatoshi Ishida
45′Kim Jun-BeomKim Bong-Soo
56′Masatoshi Ishida
62′Kim Jin-GyuKang Sang-yun
62′Lee Dong-JunItalo Vargas
68′Joo Min-KyuDiogo Oliveira
76′Seung-Woo LeeKim Seung-sub
76′João GamboaVinicius Rodrigues Adelino Dos Santos
79′Gustav LudwigsonSeo Jin-Su
80′Park Ji-suYeon Je-Woon
83′Kim Tae-hyeonChoi Woo-jin
84′Diogo Oliveira
86′Kim Moon-HwanKang Yun-sung
90′Victor BobsinPark Byung-chan

Daejeon World Cup Stadium, DaejeonReferee: Kim Dae-Yong

Daejeon Citizen 43%
Draw 26%
Jeonbuk Motors 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
51 Possession % 49
4 Corners 4

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDaejeon CitizenDrawJeonbuk Motors
Model47.7%25.2%27.0%
Market41.9%26.4%31.7%
Final43.4%26.1%30.5%
Edge+5.8%-1.2%-4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Daejeon Citizen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.31.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Daejeon Citizen below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Daejeon Citize ↓ / Jeonbuk Motors → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Daejeon Citizen and Jeonbuk Motors expected goals

Daejeon Citizen 1.79
Jeonbuk Motors 1.31

Total expected goals: 3.10

Daejeon Citizen and Jeonbuk Motors attack and defence ratings

Daejeon Citizen

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Jeonbuk Motors

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors: result vs prediction

Daejeon Citizen 2 – 1 Jeonbuk Motors

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Daejeon Citizen 43.4% 2.31 +5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.9% 1.62 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.3% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Daejeon Citizen43.4%
Draw26.1%
Jeonbuk Motors30.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes61.9%
No38.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.5%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)56.6%
Handicap -1Daejeon Citizen win26.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss52.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-19.5%
2-07.2%

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors stats

Daejeon Citizen and Jeonbuk Motors recent form

newest first
Daejeon Citizen DDWWLW
Jeonbuk Motors DLDWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Daejeon Citizen and Jeonbuk Motors going into this match

league record before kick-off

Daejeon Citizen record

  • They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Jeonbuk Motors record

  • They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Daejeon Citizen wins 4Draws 5Jeonbuk Motors wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-21Jeonbuk MotorsDaejeon CitizenK League 10-0
2026-03-21Daejeon CitizenJeonbuk MotorsK League 10-1
2025-11-08Jeonbuk MotorsDaejeon CitizenK League 13-1
2025-09-13Jeonbuk MotorsDaejeon CitizenK League 11-0
2025-05-14Daejeon CitizenJeonbuk MotorsFA Cup2-3
2025-05-06Jeonbuk MotorsDaejeon CitizenK League 11-1
2025-04-05Daejeon CitizenJeonbuk MotorsK League 10-2
2024-10-19Jeonbuk MotorsDaejeon CitizenK League 10-2
2024-09-22Daejeon CitizenJeonbuk MotorsK League 10-0
2024-07-07Daejeon CitizenJeonbuk MotorsK League 12-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 26.4%, away 31.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.22 3.52 2.98
Bet365 2.20 3.40 2.88
BetVictor 2.25 3.50 2.90
Betano 2.25 3.50 2.95
Betfair 2.20 3.60 2.90
Dafabet 2.30 3.60 3.05
Marathonbet 2.20 3.52 2.97
Pinnacle 2.29 3.58 3.09
SBO 2.14 3.10 2.77
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.21 ▼ -0.01
X 3.51 ▼ -0.05
2 2.92 ▼ -0.03

12 snapshots recorded, from .