FC Seoul
vs
Jeju United FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Seoul
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC
| Probability | FC Seoul | Draw | Jeju United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 29.7% | 29.9% |
| Market | 59.1% | 22.9% | 17.9% |
| Final | 54.5% | 24.6% | 20.9% |
| Edge | -18.7% | +6.8% | +11.9% |
Why FC Seoul
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC match preview
FC Seoul faces Jeju United FC in a K League 1 matchup with FC Seoul holding a 54% probability of winning, while Jeju United FC stands at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of FC Seoul, with a 10% likelihood. Both teams have shown competitive form recently, with FC Seoul recording three wins in their last five matches, and Jeju United FC also securing three positive results in the same period.
In terms of expected goals, FC Seoul is projected to score 1.33, compared to Jeju United FC's 1.12. The model indicates a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% likelihood that both teams will score. Historically, the last 10 encounters show FC Seoul with 4 wins, Jeju United FC with 5 wins, and 1 draw, suggesting a closely contested match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Seoul and Jeju United FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
FC Seoul and Jeju United FC attack and defence ratings
FC Seoul
Jeju United FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Seoul | 54.5% | 1.84 | -18.7% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Seoul | 54.5% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Jeju United FC | 20.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Seoul win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC stats
FC Seoul and Jeju United FC recent form
| FC Seoul |
LWLWWW |
| Jeju United FC |
WDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Seoul and Jeju United FC season so far
FC Seoul record
- They have won 19 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jeju United FC record
- They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Jeju United FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Jeju United FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-23 | Jeju United FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-31 | FC Seoul | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 1-3 |
| 2025-02-15 | Jeju United FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-16 | FC Seoul | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-06 | Jeju United FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 3-2 |
| 2024-03-16 | FC Seoul | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Jeju United FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Jeju United FC | FC Seoul | K League 1 | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 22.9%, away 17.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.10 | 5.07 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.28 | 5.53 |
| SBO | 1.54 | 3.58 | 4.63 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .