K League 1
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Jeonbuk Motors
vs
Gwangju FC
2 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | Shin Chang-moo | ||
| 35′ | Tiago Orobó | ||
| 44′ | Kim Tae-hyeon | ||
| 45′ | Hólmbert Aron FriðjónssonJohn Iredale | ||
| 45′ | Lee Min-KiPark Won-Jae | ||
| 45′ | Jang Seok-hwanAhn Young-Kyu | ||
| 51′ | Kim Young-Bin | ||
| 59′ | Lee Dong-JunItalo Vargas | ||
| 59′ | Kim Jin-GyuVinicius Rodrigues Adelino Dos Santos | ||
| 71′ | João Pedro ReginaldoMoon Min-Seo | ||
| 78′ | Tiago Orobó | ||
| 83′ | Min Sang-giRi Yong-jik | ||
| 84′ | Seung-Woo LeeKim Seung-sub | ||
| 84′ | Lee Yeong-jaeMaeng Seong-ung | ||
| 90′ | John Iredale | ||
| 90′ | João GamboaBruno Mota |
Jeonbuk Motors
63%
Draw
22%
Gwangju FC
15%
Match stats
| 2 | Shots | 3 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC
| Probability | Jeonbuk Motors | Draw | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.0% | 28.2% | 18.8% |
| Market | 66.6% | 20.2% | 13.2% |
| Final | 63.2% | 22.2% | 14.6% |
| Edge | -13.6% | +8.1% | +5.5% |
Why Jeonbuk Motors
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
Jeonbuk Motors and Gwangju FC expected goals
Jeonbuk Motors
1.53
Gwangju FC
0.81
Total expected goals: 2.34
Jeonbuk Motors and Gwangju FC attack and defence ratings
Jeonbuk Motors
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Gwangju FC
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.34 +34%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC: result vs prediction
Jeonbuk Motors 2 – 2 Gwangju FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 63.2% | 1.58 | -13.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 63.2% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Gwangju FC | 14.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.8% |
| No | 55.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Jeonbuk Motors win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 47.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.5% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC stats
Jeonbuk Motors and Gwangju FC recent form
| Jeonbuk Motors |
LDWDDW |
| Gwangju FC |
DLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jeonbuk Motors and Gwangju FC going into this match
Jeonbuk Motors record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gwangju FC record
- They have won 1 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Jeonbuk Motors wins
3Draws
1Gwangju FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Jeonbuk Motors | Gwangju FC | K League 1 | 4-0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gwangju FC | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Gwangju FC | Jeonbuk Motors | FA Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Gwangju FC | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Gwangju FC | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Jeonbuk Motors | Gwangju FC | K League 1 | 2-2 |
| 2024-11-24 | Gwangju FC | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-09 | Jeonbuk Motors | Gwangju FC | K League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Gwangju FC | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 0-3 |
| 2024-04-13 | Jeonbuk Motors | Gwangju FC | K League 1 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.5%, draw 20.2%, away 13.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 4.65 | 7.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.35 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 4.65 | 7.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42 | 4.90 | 7.35 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.08 | 5.90 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.40 ▲ +0.02
X
4.62 ▼ -0.03
2
7.05 ▼ -0.35
10 snapshots recorded, from .