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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 29

Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers

2 – 2 Full time

45′Park Kyu-HyunLee Myung-Jae
48′Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira
50′Lee Soon-min
50′Kim Bong-Soo
51′Juninho Rocha
55′Masatoshi IshidaGustav Ludwigson
55′Diogo OliveiraJoo Min-Kyu
63′Lee Soon-minVictor Bobsin
71′Victor Bobsin
72′Won Ki-jongJakob Tranziska
77′Eo Jeong-WonShin Kwang-Hoon
78′Hwang Seo-woongKento Nishiya
78′Ki Sung-YuengKim Seung-Ho
81′Jeong Jae-heeKim Jun-Beom
84′Victor Bobsin
88′Lee Myung-Jae
90′Juninho RochaCho Sang-Hyeok

Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon

Daejeon Citizen 55%
Draw 25%
Pohang Steelers 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
61 Possession % 39
11 Corners 1

Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDaejeon CitizenDrawPohang Steelers
Model63.5%22.0%14.5%
Market51.8%25.9%22.3%
Final54.7%24.9%20.3%
Edge+11.7%-3.9%-7.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Daejeon Citizen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.90.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Daejeon Citizen below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Daejeon Citize ↓ / Pohang Steeler → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Daejeon Citizen and Pohang Steelers expected goals

Daejeon Citizen 2.07
Pohang Steelers 0.90

Total expected goals: 2.98

Daejeon Citizen and Pohang Steelers attack and defence ratings

Daejeon Citizen

Attack 1.56 +56%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Pohang Steelers

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers: result vs prediction

Daejeon Citizen 2 – 2 Pohang Steelers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Daejeon Citizen 54.7% 1.83 +11.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.2% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.7% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Daejeon Citizen win 40.3% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Daejeon Citizen54.7%
Draw24.9%
Pohang Steelers20.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.2%
Under 2.542.8%
Both teams to scoreYes53.0%
No47.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.7%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)45.3%
Handicap -1Daejeon Citizen win40.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss36.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.9%
1-110.5%
2-19.9%

Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers stats

Daejeon Citizen and Pohang Steelers recent form

newest first
Daejeon Citizen WWLWWL
Pohang Steelers DLDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Daejeon Citizen and Pohang Steelers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Daejeon Citizen record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pohang Steelers record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Daejeon Citizen wins 1Draws 6Pohang Steelers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09Daejeon CitizenPohang SteelersK League 10-2
2026-04-04Pohang SteelersDaejeon CitizenK League 11-0
2025-10-26Daejeon CitizenPohang SteelersK League 12-0
2025-10-05Pohang SteelersDaejeon CitizenK League 11-3
2025-05-27Daejeon CitizenPohang SteelersK League 11-3
2025-02-15Pohang SteelersDaejeon CitizenK League 10-3
2024-07-21Daejeon CitizenPohang SteelersK League 11-2
2024-06-15Pohang SteelersDaejeon CitizenK League 11-1
2024-04-07Daejeon CitizenPohang SteelersK League 11-2
2023-08-20Pohang SteelersDaejeon CitizenK League 14-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.4%, draw 26.4%, away 22.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.80 3.68 4.18
888Sport 1.80 3.40 4.00
Bet365 1.80 3.50 4.20
BetVictor 1.80 3.60 4.20
Betano 1.83 3.50 4.15
Betfair 1.80 3.60 4.20
Dafabet 1.87 3.65 4.30
Marathonbet 1.78 3.68 4.20
Pinnacle 1.86 3.85 4.17
SBO 1.86 3.28 3.76
Superbet 1.83 3.50 4.15
Unibet 1.75 3.30 4.00
William Hill 1.83 3.50 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.09
X 3.60 —
2 4.18 ▼ -0.60

6 snapshots recorded, from .