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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 28

Daejeon Citizen vs FC Anyang

3 – 2 Full time

10′Matheus Oliveira
29′Jae-hee Jeong
47′Joo Min-Kyu
65′Victor Bobsin
66′Lee Soon-MinKim Bong-Soo
66′Blaise TsagueKim Un
74′Lee Jin-YongKim Jung-Hyun
74′B. KnezevicD. Bakker
74′Choi Geon-JooChae Hyun-woo
75′Joo Min-Kyu
77′Anton Kryvotsiuk
78′M. IshidaKim Jun-Beom
78′Jeong Jae-HeeSeo Jin-Su
83′Matheus OliveiraKim Bo-Kyung
86′Airton Moises
90′Joo Min-KyuDiogo Oliveira
90′G. LudwigsonYu Kang-Hyun

Daejeon World Cup Stadium, DaejeonReferee: Min-Seok Song, South Korea

Daejeon Citizen 63%
Draw 21%
FC Anyang 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
68 Possession % 32
5 Corners 3
0 Offsides 0

Daejeon Citizen vs FC Anyang overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Daejeon Citizen vs FC Anyang

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDaejeon CitizenDrawFC Anyang
Model72.4%15.7%11.9%
Market59.3%23.0%17.7%
Final62.6%21.2%16.3%
Edge+13.1%-7.3%-5.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Daejeon Citizen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.94 vs 1.19.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Daejeon Citizen below the model: +13.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Daejeon Citize ↓ / FC Anyang → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 7% 8% 3 7% 8% 4+ 10% 12% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

Daejeon Citizen and FC Anyang expected goals

Daejeon Citizen 2.94
FC Anyang 1.19

Total expected goals: 4.13

Daejeon Citizen and FC Anyang attack and defence ratings

Daejeon Citizen

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 1.09 +9%

FC Anyang

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.58 +58%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Daejeon Citizen vs FC Anyang: result vs prediction

Daejeon Citizen 3 – 2 FC Anyang

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Daejeon Citizen vs FC Anyang markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Daejeon Citizen 62.6% 1.60 +13.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 78.1% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.5% 1.50 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.7% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Daejeon Citizen win 53.5% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Daejeon Citizen62.6%
Draw21.2%
FC Anyang16.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.578.1%
Under 2.521.9%
Both teams to scoreYes66.5%
No33.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.7%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)37.4%
Handicap -1Daejeon Citizen win53.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss27.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.3%
3-18.1%
2-06.9%

Daejeon Citizen vs FC Anyang stats

Daejeon Citizen and FC Anyang recent form

newest first
Daejeon Citizen WLWWLW
FC Anyang LDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Daejeon Citizen and FC Anyang going into this match

league record before kick-off

Daejeon Citizen record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Anyang record

  • They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Daejeon Citizen vs FC Anyang head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Daejeon Citizen wins 4Draws 2FC Anyang wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08FC AnyangDaejeon CitizenK League 11-2
2026-03-02Daejeon CitizenFC AnyangK League 11-1
2025-08-24FC AnyangDaejeon CitizenK League 13-2
2025-05-31FC AnyangDaejeon CitizenK League 11-1
2025-05-03Daejeon CitizenFC AnyangK League 12-1
2022-09-21FC AnyangDaejeon CitizenK League 20-1
2022-08-21Daejeon CitizenFC AnyangK League 22-3
2022-06-18FC AnyangDaejeon CitizenK League 22-2
2022-03-12Daejeon CitizenFC AnyangK League 21-1
2021-11-07FC AnyangDaejeon CitizenK League 21-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Daejeon Citizen vs FC Anyang odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.3%, draw 23.0%, away 17.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.57 4.10 5.50
1xBet 1.56 4.15 5.39
888Sport 1.57 3.90 5.00
Bet365 1.55 3.90 5.00
BetVictor 1.53 4.10 5.50
Betano 1.57 4.00 5.40
Betfair 1.57 4.10 5.00
Dafabet 1.61 4.20 5.40
Marathonbet 1.54 4.15 5.50
Pinnacle 1.58 4.35 5.74
SBO 1.50 3.78 5.13
Superbet 1.58 4.00 5.10
Unibet 1.61 3.60 4.50
William Hill 1.57 3.90 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.57 ▼ -0.03
X 4.05 ▲ +0.05
2 5.26 ▲ +0.05

5 snapshots recorded, from .