K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 28

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul

1 – 0 Full time

39′Jang Si-young
46′Lee Jin-HyunH. Lee
54′J. SonLee Seung-Mo
69′Jung Seung-hyeon
69′Lee Gyu-SeongD. Bojanic
76′Erick FariasKang Sang-Woo
76′Jang Si-YoungSim Sang-Min
76′Moon Seon-MinPark Soo-Il
83′Sim Sang-Min
84′Sang-min Shim
90′Lee Dong-GyeongM. Trojak
90′P. KlimalaCheon Seong-Hoon

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, UlsanReferee: Hyun Jae Choi, South Korea

Ulsan Hyundai FC 18%
Draw 23%
FC Seoul 59%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
45 Possession % 55
2 Corners 7
10 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0
6 Saves 3
210 Accurate passes 400

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUlsan Hyundai FCDrawFC Seoul
Model17.6%23.0%59.3%
Market———
Final17.6%23.0%59.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Seoul

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ulsan Hyundai ↓ / FC Seoul → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 10% 7% 1 11% 10% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Seoul expected goals

Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.03
FC Seoul 2.02

Total expected goals: 3.05

Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Seoul attack and defence ratings

Ulsan Hyundai FC

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.01 +1%

FC Seoul

Attack 1.64 +64%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul: result vs prediction

Ulsan Hyundai FC 1 – 0 FC Seoul

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Seoul 59.3% 1.69 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.7% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.4% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.7% 2.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ulsan Hyundai FC17.6%
Draw23.0%
FC Seoul59.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.7%
Under 2.541.3%
Both teams to scoreYes56.7%
No43.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)40.7%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)82.4%
Handicap -1FC Seoul win36.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss40.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
1-210.0%
0-29.7%

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul stats

Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Seoul recent form

newest first
Ulsan Hyundai FC DWLLLW
FC Seoul WWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Seoul going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ulsan Hyundai FC record

  • They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Seoul record

  • They have won 18 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Ulsan Hyundai FC wins 4Draws 3FC Seoul wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26FC SeoulUlsan Hyundai FCK League 11-3
2026-04-15Ulsan Hyundai FCFC SeoulK League 11-4
2025-08-24FC SeoulUlsan Hyundai FCK League 13-2
2025-07-20FC SeoulUlsan Hyundai FCK League 11-0
2025-04-05Ulsan Hyundai FCFC SeoulK League 10-0
2024-11-10FC SeoulUlsan Hyundai FCK League 11-1
2024-07-13Ulsan Hyundai FCFC SeoulK League 11-0
2024-06-16Ulsan Hyundai FCFC SeoulK League 12-2
2024-05-04FC SeoulUlsan Hyundai FCK League 10-1
2023-08-27FC SeoulUlsan Hyundai FCK League 12-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.5%, draw 27.3%, away 44.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.25 3.45 2.10
1xBet 3.38 3.38 2.11
Bet365 3.20 3.40 2.05
BetVictor 3.20 3.60 2.05
Betano 3.30 3.35 2.12
Betfair 3.25 3.60 2.05
Dafabet 3.30 3.55 2.19
Marathonbet 3.38 3.38 2.09
Pinnacle 3.57 3.41 2.15
SBO 2.80 3.16 2.09
Superbet 3.20 3.40 2.15
Unibet 2.90 3.30 2.10
William Hill 3.20 3.30 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.25 ▼ -0.05
X 3.40 ▲ +0.13
2 2.10 ▼ -0.08

5 snapshots recorded, from .