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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 28

Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995

2 – 1 Full time

33′Galego
43′S. Mugosa
45′Gustavo
56′Leandro RibeiroGerso
67′Hong Sung-Wook
69′Seo Jae-MinLee Min-Hyuk
69′Lee Dong-RyulLee Chung-Yong
69′Gustavo NescauLee Eui-Hyeong
70′Ibiza
74′K. TakahashiYoon Bit-Garam
86′An Tae-HyunJo Seong-Jun
86′S. Ye-GeonKim Sang-Jun
86′Rodrigo BassaniKim Min-Jun
88′Kim Myung-soonChoi Seung-gu
88′M. FerrierKim Seong-Min

Sungui Arena Park, Incheon

Incheon United 43%
Draw 30%
Bucheon FC 1995 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 5
55 Possession % 45
5 Corners 2
6 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
4 Saves 0
430 Accurate passes 289

Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIncheon UnitedDrawBucheon FC 1995
Model43.0%29.7%27.3%
Market———
Final43.0%29.7%27.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Incheon United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.04.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Incheon United ↓ / Bucheon FC 199 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Incheon United and Bucheon FC 1995 expected goals

Incheon United 1.37
Bucheon FC 1995 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.41

Incheon United and Bucheon FC 1995 attack and defence ratings

Incheon United

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Bucheon FC 1995

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995: result vs prediction

Incheon United 2 – 1 Bucheon FC 1995

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Incheon United 43.0% 2.32 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score No 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.0% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Incheon United43.0%
Draw29.7%
Bucheon FC 199527.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.3%
Under 2.556.7%
Both teams to scoreYes49.5%
No50.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.7%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)57.0%
Handicap -1Incheon United win20.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss57.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-011.0%
0-010.3%

Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 stats

Incheon United and Bucheon FC 1995 recent form

newest first
Incheon United LDLWDD
Bucheon FC 1995 LDLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Incheon United and Bucheon FC 1995 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Incheon United record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 51% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bucheon FC 1995 record

  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Incheon United wins 2Draws 1Bucheon FC 1995 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26Incheon UnitedBucheon FC 1995K League 11-1
2026-04-18Bucheon FC 1995Incheon UnitedK League 12-2
2025-09-07Bucheon FC 1995Incheon UnitedK League 21-0
2025-06-08Incheon UnitedBucheon FC 1995K League 21-0
2025-04-26Bucheon FC 1995Incheon UnitedK League 21-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.0%, draw 26.9%, away 20.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.77 3.45 4.75
1xBet 1.76 3.55 4.61
Bet365 1.73 3.40 4.50
BetVictor 1.73 3.50 4.75
Betano 1.78 3.45 4.60
Betfair 1.75 3.50 4.50
Dafabet 1.80 3.60 4.90
Marathonbet 1.74 3.55 4.65
Pinnacle 1.78 3.64 4.87
SBO 1.74 3.11 3.98
Superbet 1.77 3.45 4.55
Unibet 1.70 3.25 4.40
William Hill 1.75 3.30 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▼ -0.01
X 3.45 ▼ -0.09
2 4.60 ▼ -0.08

5 snapshots recorded, from .