K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 27

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen

0 – 5 Full time

23′Masatoshi Ishida
26′Lee Soon-min
38′Diogo Oliveira
45′Thiago Nascimento dos SantosSeung-bin Kim
45′Baek Dong-GyuJeong Ho-Jin
48′Jeong Jae-hee
57′Kim Jong-WooYe-Geon Sung
61′Victor BobsinLee Hyeon-sik
76′Seo Jin-Su Gustav Ludwigson
76′Masatoshi IshidaKim Jun-Beom
78′Cho Sung-gwon
79′GustavoLee Eui-Hyeong
79′Rodrigo BassaniKim Min-Jun
79′Lee Eui-Hyeong
82′Jeong Jae-hee
83′Diogo OliveiraPark Byung-chan
83′Jeong Jae-heeJoo Min-Kyu
90′Kim Sang-jun

Bucheon Stadium, BucheonReferee: Jong-Hyeok Kim, South Korea

Bucheon FC 1995 29%
Draw 27%
Daejeon Citizen 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
46 Possession % 54
3 Corners 5
12 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
272 Accurate passes 282

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBucheon FC 1995DrawDaejeon Citizen
Model45.9%26.6%27.5%
Market23.1%26.5%50.4%
Final28.8%26.5%44.7%
Edge+22.8%+0.1%-22.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Daejeon Citizen

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bucheon FC 199 ↓ / Daejeon Citize → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Bucheon FC 1995 and Daejeon Citizen expected goals

Bucheon FC 1995 1.65
Daejeon Citizen 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.88

Bucheon FC 1995 and Daejeon Citizen attack and defence ratings

Bucheon FC 1995

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Daejeon Citizen

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen: result vs prediction

Bucheon FC 1995 0 – 5 Daejeon Citizen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Daejeon Citizen 44.7% 2.24 -22.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.5% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bucheon FC 199528.8%
Draw26.5%
Daejeon Citizen44.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.9%
Under 2.545.1%
Both teams to scoreYes58.3%
No41.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.3%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)71.2%
Handicap -1Daejeon Citizen win11.9%
Push (exactly one goal)15.6%
Loss72.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.4%
1-08.1%

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen stats

Bucheon FC 1995 and Daejeon Citizen recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bucheon FC 1995 and Daejeon Citizen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bucheon FC 1995 record

  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Daejeon Citizen record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Bucheon FC 1995 wins 3Draws 4Daejeon Citizen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-04Daejeon CitizenBucheon FC 1995K League 12-2
2026-03-07Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon CitizenK League 11-1
2022-08-27Daejeon CitizenBucheon FC 1995K League 23-1
2022-07-02Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon CitizenK League 22-0
2022-05-21Daejeon CitizenBucheon FC 1995K League 21-0
2022-04-02Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon CitizenK League 22-1
2021-10-03Daejeon CitizenBucheon FC 1995K League 21-1
2021-08-28Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon CitizenK League 24-2
2021-05-24Daejeon CitizenBucheon FC 1995K League 24-1
2021-02-28Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon CitizenK League 21-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.2%, draw 26.5%, away 50.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.10 3.50 1.83
1xBet 4.08 3.54 1.85
Bet365 4.00 3.40 1.83
BetVictor 4.00 3.50 1.85
Betano 3.95 3.55 1.87
Betfair 4.00 3.60 1.85
Dafabet 4.00 3.55 1.96
Marathonbet 4.10 3.54 1.83
Pinnacle 4.28 3.69 1.88
SBO 3.39 3.07 1.89
Superbet 3.85 3.40 1.92
Unibet 4.00 3.30 1.76
William Hill 3.90 3.40 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.04 ▲ +0.04
X 3.52 —
2 1.85 —

9 snapshots recorded, from .