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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 27

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC

2 – 2 Full time

26′Kim Yi-Seok
46′Ju Se-JongJoung Ji-hun
54′Go Jae-Hyeon
60′Shin Chang-MooH. Fridjonsson
60′Yu Je-HoRi Yong-jik
66′J. Iredale
67′G. LeeKim In-Gyun
67′Go Jae-HyeonJung Jae-Min
73′Lee Sang-HeonPark Se-Jin
74′Kwon Sung-YunPark Won-Jae
77′H. Fridjonsson
86′Hong Yun-SangKim Joo-Chan
86′Kim Yi-SeokRoh Kyung-Ho
90′Jang Seok-hwan
90′Min Sang-GiY. Kim

Gimcheon Stadium, GimcheonReferee: Dong Jun Lee, South Korea

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 56%
Draw 26%
Gwangju FC 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
61 Possession % 39
4 Corners 1
13 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 0
3 Saves 3
414 Accurate passes 350

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimcheon Sangmu FCDrawGwangju FC
Model47.0%30.9%22.0%
Market59.2%23.7%17.1%
Final56.2%25.5%18.3%
Edge-12.2%+7.2%+5.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Gimcheon Sangmu FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimcheon Sangm ↓ / Gwangju FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 8% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gwangju FC expected goals

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.32
Gwangju FC 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.14

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gwangju FC attack and defence ratings

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Gwangju FC

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.48 +48%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC: result vs prediction

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 – 2 Gwangju FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 56.2% 1.78 -12.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.8% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 57.6% 1.74 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.7% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.0% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimcheon Sangmu FC56.2%
Draw25.5%
Gwangju FC18.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.2%
Under 2.563.8%
Both teams to scoreYes42.4%
No57.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.7%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)43.8%
Handicap -1Gimcheon Sangmu FC win22.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss53.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.2%
1-114.0%
0-013.0%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC stats

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gwangju FC recent form

newest first
Gimcheon Sangmu FC LDDDDW
Gwangju FC LDLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gwangju FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimcheon Sangmu FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gwangju FC record

  • They have won 1 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 15 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins 4Draws 2Gwangju FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-22Gwangju FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 11-1
2026-03-17Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FCK League 11-1
2025-07-22Gwangju FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 11-1
2025-05-05Gwangju FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 11-0
2025-03-16Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FCK League 10-0
2024-09-28Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FCK League 12-0
2024-06-15Gwangju FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 12-0
2024-04-06Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FCK League 12-1
2020-10-25Gwangju FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 10-1
2020-09-15Gwangju FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 10-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 23.8%, away 17.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.57 3.85 5.80
1xBet 1.59 3.94 5.40
Bet365 1.55 3.75 5.25
BetVictor 1.55 3.90 5.75
Betano 1.60 3.90 5.40
Betfair 1.57 4.00 5.50
Dafabet 1.60 4.10 5.80
Marathonbet 1.57 3.94 5.50
Pinnacle 1.60 4.21 5.77
SBO 1.50 3.53 5.03
Superbet 1.58 3.90 5.40
Unibet 1.61 3.50 4.70
William Hill 1.57 3.80 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.57 ▼ -0.01
X 3.92 ▲ +0.02
2 5.45 —

11 snapshots recorded, from .