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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 26

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

3 – 1 Full time

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, UlsanReferee: Jong-Hyeok Kim, South Korea

Ulsan Hyundai FC 47%
Draw 27%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUlsan Hyundai FCDrawGimcheon Sangmu FC
Model37.5%32.3%30.2%
Market50.2%25.2%24.6%
Final47.0%27.0%26.0%
Edge-12.7%+7.1%+5.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Ulsan Hyundai FC

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ulsan Hyundai ↓ / Gimcheon Sangm → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected goals

Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.14
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.13

Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack and defence ratings

Ulsan Hyundai FC

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: result vs prediction

Ulsan Hyundai FC 3 – 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ulsan Hyundai FC 47.0% 2.13 -12.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 55.9% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.5% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ulsan Hyundai FC47.0%
Draw27.0%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC26.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.8%
Under 2.564.2%
Both teams to scoreYes44.1%
No55.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.0%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)53.0%
Handicap -1Ulsan Hyundai FC win16.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss62.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.2%
1-012.2%

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC stats

Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC recent form

newest first
Ulsan Hyundai FC LLLWWW
Gimcheon Sangmu FC DDDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ulsan Hyundai FC record

  • They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Ulsan Hyundai FC wins 3Draws 2Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-05Gimcheon Sangmu FCUlsan Hyundai FCK League 11-2
2026-03-22Ulsan Hyundai FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 10-0
2025-10-05Gimcheon Sangmu FCUlsan Hyundai FCK League 13-0
2025-05-24Ulsan Hyundai FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 13-2
2025-04-27Gimcheon Sangmu FCUlsan Hyundai FCK League 12-0
2024-10-19Gimcheon Sangmu FCUlsan Hyundai FCK League 10-0
2024-10-06Ulsan Hyundai FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 12-1
2024-05-12Ulsan Hyundai FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 12-2
2024-03-09Gimcheon Sangmu FCUlsan Hyundai FCK League 12-3
2022-08-21Gimcheon Sangmu FCUlsan Hyundai FCK League 11-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.2%, draw 25.2%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.70 3.75
1xBet 1.86 3.74 3.80
Bet365 1.85 3.50 3.70
BetVictor 1.85 3.70 3.80
Betano 1.88 3.60 3.80
Betfair 1.85 3.80 3.80
Dafabet 1.92 3.75 3.95
Marathonbet 1.84 3.74 3.82
Pinnacle 1.87 3.75 3.98
SBO 1.86 3.22 3.32
Superbet 1.88 3.60 3.80
Unibet 1.73 3.50 3.85
William Hill 1.85 3.40 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.86 ▲ +0.02
X 3.70 —
2 3.80 ▼ -0.05

5 snapshots recorded, from .