Garuda Lions
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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 25

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC

2 – 1 Full time

Daejeon World Cup Stadium, DaejeonReferee: Yong-jun Shin, South Korea

Daejeon Citizen 42%
Draw 26%
Ulsan Hyundai FC 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDaejeon CitizenDrawUlsan Hyundai FC
Model46.2%24.2%29.6%
Market41.0%26.6%32.4%
Final42.3%26.0%31.7%
Edge+5.2%-2.4%-2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Daejeon Citizen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.49.
  • The market prices Daejeon Citizen below the model: +5.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Daejeon Citize ↓ / Ulsan Hyundai → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Daejeon Citizen and Ulsan Hyundai FC expected goals

Daejeon Citizen 1.89
Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.49

Total expected goals: 3.37

Daejeon Citizen and Ulsan Hyundai FC attack and defence ratings

Daejeon Citizen

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Ulsan Hyundai FC

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: result vs prediction

Daejeon Citizen 2 – 1 Ulsan Hyundai FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Daejeon Citizen 42.3% 2.36 +5.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.5% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.6% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.8% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Daejeon Citizen42.3%
Draw26.0%
Ulsan Hyundai FC31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.5%
Under 2.534.5%
Both teams to scoreYes66.6%
No33.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)57.7%
Handicap -1Daejeon Citizen win26.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss53.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-19.1%
1-27.1%

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC stats

Daejeon Citizen and Ulsan Hyundai FC recent form

newest first
Daejeon Citizen WLWWLD
Ulsan Hyundai FC LLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Daejeon Citizen and Ulsan Hyundai FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Daejeon Citizen record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ulsan Hyundai FC record

  • They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Daejeon Citizen wins 3Draws 3Ulsan Hyundai FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18Daejeon CitizenUlsan Hyundai FCK League 12-2
2026-04-26Ulsan Hyundai FCDaejeon CitizenK League 11-4
2025-07-23Ulsan Hyundai FCDaejeon CitizenK League 11-2
2025-04-01Ulsan Hyundai FCDaejeon CitizenK League 12-3
2025-02-23Daejeon CitizenUlsan Hyundai FCK League 10-2
2024-09-27Daejeon CitizenUlsan Hyundai FCK League 10-1
2024-05-25Ulsan Hyundai FCDaejeon CitizenK League 14-1
2024-04-02Daejeon CitizenUlsan Hyundai FCK League 12-0
2023-09-16Ulsan Hyundai FCDaejeon CitizenK League 11-1
2023-05-28Ulsan Hyundai FCDaejeon CitizenK League 13-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 26.6%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.55 2.90
1xBet 2.27 3.60 2.87
Bet365 2.30 3.50 2.75
BetVictor 2.25 3.50 2.88
Betano 2.32 3.45 2.85
Betfair 2.25 3.60 2.80
Dafabet 2.35 3.60 2.95
Marathonbet 2.25 3.60 2.86
Pinnacle 2.34 3.65 3.00
SBO 2.24 3.30 2.78
Superbet 2.30 3.45 2.87
Unibet 2.28 3.20 2.70
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.27 ▼ -0.03
X 3.50 ▼ -0.04
2 2.87 ▲ +0.02

7 snapshots recorded, from .