Garuda Lions
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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 25

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers

1 – 2 Full time

Jeju World Cup Stadium, SeogwipoReferee: Byungjin Park, South Korea

Jeju United FC 44%
Draw 29%
Pohang Steelers 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJeju United FCDrawPohang Steelers
Model58.3%25.3%16.4%
Market39.9%29.8%30.3%
Final44.5%28.7%26.8%
Edge+18.4%-4.5%-13.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Jeju United FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Jeju United FC below the model: +18.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jeju United FC ↓ / Pohang Steeler → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 8%

Jeju United FC and Pohang Steelers expected goals

Jeju United FC 1.77
Pohang Steelers 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.61

Jeju United FC and Pohang Steelers attack and defence ratings

Jeju United FC

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Pohang Steelers

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers: result vs prediction

Jeju United FC 1 – 2 Pohang Steelers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jeju United FC 44.5% 2.25 +18.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score No 51.8% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.2% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.7% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jeju United FC44.5%
Draw28.7%
Pohang Steelers26.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.4%
Under 2.551.6%
Both teams to scoreYes48.2%
No51.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.2%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)55.5%
Handicap -1Jeju United FC win34.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss41.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-011.9%
2-011.5%

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers stats

Jeju United FC and Pohang Steelers recent form

newest first
Jeju United FC DWWDWD
Pohang Steelers LWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jeju United FC and Pohang Steelers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jeju United FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pohang Steelers record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Jeju United FC wins 2Draws 4Pohang Steelers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18Jeju United FCPohang SteelersK League 12-1
2026-04-11Pohang SteelersJeju United FCK League 10-2
2025-09-21Pohang SteelersJeju United FCK League 11-0
2025-06-21Pohang SteelersJeju United FCK League 12-1
2025-04-20Jeju United FCPohang SteelersK League 12-0
2024-08-28Pohang SteelersJeju United FCFA Cup2-1
2024-08-21Jeju United FCPohang SteelersFA Cup2-2
2024-07-13Jeju United FCPohang SteelersK League 12-1
2024-05-12Pohang SteelersJeju United FCK League 11-1
2024-03-30Jeju United FCPohang SteelersK League 10-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 29.8%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.40 3.10 3.00
1xBet 2.32 3.22 3.07
Bet365 2.25 3.00 3.20
BetVictor 2.30 3.20 3.10
Betano 2.37 3.10 3.05
Betfair 2.30 3.25 3.00
Dafabet 2.50 3.20 3.05
Marathonbet 2.30 3.22 3.06
Pinnacle 2.38 3.31 3.21
SBO 2.36 2.98 2.84
Superbet 2.37 3.05 3.10
Unibet 2.28 3.00 2.85
William Hill 2.30 3.00 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.32 ▼ -0.14
X 3.10 ▼ -0.01
2 3.05 ▲ +0.13

6 snapshots recorded, from .