Jeju United FC
vs
Daejeon Citizen
3 – 1 Full time
Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen
| Probability | Jeju United FC | Draw | Daejeon Citizen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.7% | 27.2% | 35.1% |
| Market | 28.6% | 28.1% | 43.3% |
| Final | 30.9% | 27.9% | 41.2% |
| Edge | +9.1% | -1.0% | -8.2% |
Why Daejeon Citizen
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jeju United FC and Daejeon Citizen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Jeju United FC and Daejeon Citizen attack and defence ratings
Jeju United FC
Daejeon Citizen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen: result vs prediction
Jeju United FC 3 – 1 Daejeon Citizen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Daejeon Citizen | 41.2% | 2.43 | -8.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jeju United FC | 30.9% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Daejeon Citizen | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Daejeon Citizen win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 65.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen stats
Jeju United FC and Daejeon Citizen recent form
| Jeju United FC |
LDWWDW |
| Daejeon Citizen |
WWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jeju United FC and Daejeon Citizen going into this match
Jeju United FC record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Daejeon Citizen record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Jeju United FC | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Daejeon Citizen | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Daejeon Citizen | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-06-27 | Daejeon Citizen | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Jeju United FC | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.6%, draw 28.1%, away 43.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.20 | 3.35 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 3.28 | 3.35 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.45 | 2.24 |
| Marathonbet | 3.28 | 3.35 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.39 | 3.31 | 2.20 |
| SBO | 2.89 | 2.92 | 2.16 |
| Unibet | 3.20 | 3.15 | 2.04 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .