Incheon United
vs
Jeonbuk Motors
1 – 1 Full time
Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors
| Probability | Incheon United | Draw | Jeonbuk Motors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 34.9% | 30.4% |
| Market | 32.0% | 29.0% | 39.0% |
| Final | 32.7% | 30.5% | 36.8% |
| Edge | +2.6% | +6.0% | -8.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Incheon United and Jeonbuk Motors expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.85
Incheon United and Jeonbuk Motors attack and defence ratings
Incheon United
Jeonbuk Motors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors: result vs prediction
Incheon United 1 – 1 Jeonbuk Motors
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 36.8% | 2.72 | -8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Incheon United | 32.7% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 36.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.8% |
| No | 62.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Jeonbuk Motors win | 10.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 69.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.8% |
Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors stats
Incheon United and Jeonbuk Motors recent form
| Incheon United |
LWDDDW |
| Jeonbuk Motors |
DWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Incheon United and Jeonbuk Motors going into this match
Incheon United record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 51% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jeonbuk Motors record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Incheon United | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Jeonbuk Motors | Incheon United | K League 1 | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 29.0%, away 39.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.33 |
| 1xBet | 2.89 | 3.26 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.15 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.26 | 2.39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02 | 3.21 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.68 | 2.95 | 2.28 |
| Unibet | 2.85 | 3.00 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .