FC Anyang
vs
Incheon United
2 – 1 Full time
FC Anyang vs Incheon United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Anyang vs Incheon United
| Probability | FC Anyang | Draw | Incheon United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.9% | 22.0% | 63.1% |
| Market | 28.4% | 29.3% | 42.3% |
| Final | 25.0% | 27.5% | 47.5% |
| Edge | -13.5% | -7.3% | +20.8% |
Why Incheon United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Incheon United below the model: +20.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Anyang and Incheon United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
FC Anyang and Incheon United attack and defence ratings
FC Anyang
Incheon United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Anyang vs Incheon United: result vs prediction
FC Anyang 2 – 1 Incheon United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Anyang vs Incheon United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Incheon United | 47.5% | 2.11 | +20.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Incheon United win | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Anyang | 25.0% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Incheon United | 47.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Incheon United win | 40.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 36.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.7% |
| 1-1 | 10.5% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
FC Anyang vs Incheon United stats
FC Anyang and Incheon United recent form
| FC Anyang |
LLLLWW |
| Incheon United |
WDDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Anyang and Incheon United going into this match
FC Anyang record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Incheon United record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 51% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Anyang vs Incheon United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Incheon United | FC Anyang | K League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-22 | FC Anyang | Incheon United | K League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2021-04-14 | Incheon United | FC Anyang | FA Cup | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Anyang vs Incheon United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.4%, draw 29.3%, away 42.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 3.32 | 3.34 | 2.14 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.15 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.28 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.34 | 2.12 |
| Pinnacle | 3.59 | 3.27 | 2.23 |
| SBO | 3.05 | 3.00 | 2.23 |
| Superbet | 3.25 | 3.15 | 2.22 |
| Unibet | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .