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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 25

Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC

2 – 2 Full time

Chuncheon Songam Stadium, ChuncheonReferee: Woo-Sung Kim, South Korea

Gangwon FC 61%
Draw 25%
Gwangju FC 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGangwon FCDrawGwangju FC
Model59.2%26.7%14.1%
Market62.1%23.8%14.1%
Final61.4%24.5%14.1%
Edge-2.9%+2.9%-0.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Gangwon FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.67.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gangwon FC ↓ / Gwangju FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 15% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

Gangwon FC and Gwangju FC expected goals

Gangwon FC 1.62
Gwangju FC 0.67

Total expected goals: 2.29

Gangwon FC and Gwangju FC attack and defence ratings

Gangwon FC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Gwangju FC

Attack 0.52 -48%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC: result vs prediction

Gangwon FC 2 – 2 Gwangju FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gangwon FC 61.4% 1.63 -2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.0% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.9% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.8% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gangwon FC61.4%
Draw24.5%
Gwangju FC14.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.0%
Under 2.560.0%
Both teams to scoreYes40.2%
No59.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.9%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)38.6%
Handicap -1Gangwon FC win33.2%
Push (exactly one goal)26.0%
Loss40.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.3%
2-013.3%
1-112.1%

Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC stats

Gangwon FC and Gwangju FC recent form

newest first
Gangwon FC LWLLDW
Gwangju FC LLDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gangwon FC and Gwangju FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gangwon FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gwangju FC record

  • They have won 1 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 15 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Gangwon FC wins 2Draws 2Gwangju FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09Gwangju FCGangwon FCK League 10-0
2026-04-04Gangwon FCGwangju FCK League 13-0
2025-08-23Gwangju FCGangwon FCK League 10-1
2025-05-25Gwangju FCGangwon FCK League 10-1
2025-04-13Gangwon FCGwangju FCK League 11-0
2024-08-18Gangwon FCGwangju FCK League 13-2
2024-07-07Gangwon FCGwangju FCK League 12-0
2024-03-10Gwangju FCGangwon FCK League 14-2
2023-10-08Gwangju FCGangwon FCK League 11-0
2023-07-07Gangwon FCGwangju FCK League 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.1%, draw 23.8%, away 14.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.50 3.85 6.80
1xBet 1.51 3.92 6.66
Bet365 1.50 4.00 6.00
BetVictor 1.50 3.80 7.00
Betano 1.52 3.90 6.30
Betfair 1.47 4.00 6.50
Dafabet 1.54 4.20 6.60
Marathonbet 1.50 3.92 6.65
Pinnacle 1.55 4.03 6.98
SBO 1.48 3.72 6.09
Superbet 1.51 4.00 6.00
Unibet 1.42 3.75 6.75
William Hill 1.50 3.75 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 —
X 3.92 —
2 6.60 ▲ +0.05

7 snapshots recorded, from .