Garuda Lions
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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 24

Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC

3 – 0 Full time

Daejeon World Cup Stadium, DaejeonReferee: Byungjin Park, South Korea

Daejeon Citizen 36%
Draw 29%
Gangwon FC 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDaejeon CitizenDrawGangwon FC
Model32.7%27.4%39.9%
Market37.1%29.7%33.1%
Final36.0%29.1%34.8%
Edge-4.4%-2.4%+6.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Daejeon Citize ↓ / Gangwon FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon FC expected goals

Daejeon Citizen 1.34
Gangwon FC 1.50

Total expected goals: 2.84

Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon FC attack and defence ratings

Daejeon Citizen

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Gangwon FC

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC: result vs prediction

Daejeon Citizen 3 – 0 Gangwon FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Daejeon Citizen 36.0% 2.78 -4.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.9% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.9% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.3% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Daejeon Citizen36.0%
Draw29.1%
Gangwon FC34.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.9%
Under 2.546.1%
Both teams to scoreYes58.5%
No41.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.2%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)64.0%
Handicap -1Daejeon Citizen win15.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss67.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC stats

Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon FC recent form

newest first
Daejeon Citizen LWWLDD
Gangwon FC WLLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Daejeon Citizen record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gangwon FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Daejeon Citizen wins 3Draws 2Gangwon FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-12Gangwon FCDaejeon CitizenK League 12-0
2026-04-12Daejeon CitizenGangwon FCK League 10-2
2025-11-22Daejeon CitizenGangwon FCK League 11-1
2025-09-27Gangwon FCDaejeon CitizenK League 10-0
2025-07-19Gangwon FCDaejeon CitizenK League 12-2
2025-04-27Daejeon CitizenGangwon FCK League 11-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.1%, draw 29.7%, away 33.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.55 3.12 2.78
888Sport 2.50 3.00 2.80
Bet365 2.50 3.10 2.62
BetVictor 2.50 3.20 2.75
Betano 2.52 3.15 2.82
Betfair 2.45 3.25 2.80
Dafabet 2.60 3.25 2.90
Marathonbet 2.55 3.12 2.78
Pinnacle 2.63 3.22 2.92
SBO 2.46 3.07 2.64
Superbet 2.52 3.10 2.80
Unibet 2.50 2.95 2.55
William Hill 2.50 3.00 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 —
X 3.12 ▲ +0.02
2 2.80 ▼ -0.02

2 snapshots recorded, from .