K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 24

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

0 – 0 Full time

Jeju World Cup Stadium, SeogwipoReferee: Tae-Hwan Seol, South Korea

Jeju United FC 50%
Draw 28%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJeju United FCDrawGimcheon Sangmu FC
Model49.6%28.3%22.2%
Market———
Final49.6%28.3%22.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Jeju United FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.95.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jeju United FC ↓ / Gimcheon Sangm → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 12% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected goals

Jeju United FC 1.52
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.95

Total expected goals: 2.47

Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack and defence ratings

Jeju United FC

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: result vs prediction

Jeju United FC 0 – 0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jeju United FC 49.6% 2.02 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score No 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.8% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.4% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jeju United FC49.6%
Draw28.3%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC22.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.8%
Under 2.555.2%
Both teams to scoreYes49.0%
No51.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.8%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)50.4%
Handicap -1Jeju United FC win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss50.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-011.7%
2-09.8%

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC stats

Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jeju United FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Jeju United FC wins 3Draws 2Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-05Gimcheon Sangmu FCJeju United FCK League 11-1
2026-04-18Jeju United FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 11-1
2025-07-26Gimcheon Sangmu FCJeju United FCK League 13-1
2025-05-17Gimcheon Sangmu FCJeju United FCK League 11-1
2025-02-22Jeju United FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 12-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.