Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 8

FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz

2 – 1 Full time

13′Marcel Monsberger
30′Damienus ReversonKevin Spadanuda
45′Bledian KrasniqiValon Berisha
55′Philippe Paulin Keny
62′Milos CocicMattia walker
62′Marcel MonsbergerDejan Djokic
72′Juan CabreraDaniel Kasper
77′Dominik Schwizer
82′Luca MackMats Hammerich
82′Julian Starkmischa beeli
87′Mattia walker
90′Umeh Emmanuel

Letzigrund Stadion, ZurichReferee: F. San

FC Zurich 37%
Draw 24%
FC Vaduz 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
35 Possession % 65
7 Corners 2
6 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 4
247 Accurate passes 537

FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC ZurichDrawFC Vaduz
Model26.9%20.3%52.8%
Market40.1%25.0%34.9%
Final36.8%23.8%39.4%
Edge-13.2%-4.7%+17.9%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Vaduz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.77.
  • The market prices FC Vaduz below the model: +17.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Zurich ↓ / FC Vaduz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 4% 1 7% 8% 6% 7% 2 6% 7% 6% 6% 3 4% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

FC Zurich and FC Vaduz expected goals

FC Zurich 1.77
FC Vaduz 2.47

Total expected goals: 4.25

FC Zurich and FC Vaduz attack and defence ratings

FC Zurich

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.24 +24%

FC Vaduz

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz: result vs prediction

FC Zurich 2 – 1 FC Vaduz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Vaduz 39.4% 2.54 +17.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.6% 1.26 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.7% 1.30 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.2% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Zurich36.8%
Draw23.8%
FC Vaduz39.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.6%
Under 2.520.4%
Both teams to scoreYes76.7%
No23.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.6%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)63.2%
Handicap -1FC Vaduz win33.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss47.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-27.8%
1-16.9%
2-26.9%

FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz stats

FC Zurich and FC Vaduz recent form

newest first
FC Zurich DLWLWL
FC Vaduz WLWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Zurich and FC Vaduz going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Zurich record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

FC Vaduz record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.

FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3FC Zurich wins 2Draws 2FC Vaduz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-10-11FC ZurichFC VaduzFriendlies Clubs2-2
2021-07-10FC VaduzFC ZurichFriendlies Clubs0-0
2021-05-21FC ZurichFC VaduzSuper League4-1
2021-02-06FC VaduzFC ZurichSuper League3-2
2021-01-27FC ZurichFC VaduzSuper League0-1
2020-10-24FC VaduzFC ZurichSuper League1-4
2020-06-06FC VaduzFC ZurichFriendlies Clubs1-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 25.1%, away 35.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.35 3.75 2.65
1xBet 2.34 3.72 2.66
Bet365 2.38 3.50 2.75
BetVictor 2.25 3.90 2.55
Betano 2.32 3.70 2.70
Betfair 2.30 4.00 2.63
Dafabet 2.34 3.70 2.70
Marathonbet 2.34 3.72 2.66
Pinnacle 2.40 4.02 2.72
SBO 2.19 3.44 2.48
William Hill 2.30 3.60 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.32 ▲ +0.02
X 3.72 ▼ -0.08
2 2.66 ▼ -0.02

13 snapshots recorded, from .