United Arab Emirates Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Ajman
vs
Hatta SC
4 – 3 Full time
Ajman
53%
Draw
25%
Hatta SC
22%
Ajman vs Hatta SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ajman vs Hatta SC
| Probability | Ajman | Draw | Hatta SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.4% | 26.4% | 25.1% |
| Market | 55.0% | 24.0% | 21.0% |
| Final | 53.4% | 24.6% | 22.0% |
| Edge | -6.6% | +2.5% | +4.1% |
Why Ajman
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Ajman and Hatta SC expected goals
Ajman
1.68
Hatta SC
1.16
Total expected goals: 2.83
Ajman and Hatta SC attack and defence ratings
Ajman
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Hatta SC
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ajman vs Hatta SC: result vs prediction
Ajman 4 – 3 Hatta SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ajman vs Hatta SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ajman | 53.4% | 1.87 | -6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ajman | 53.4% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Hatta SC | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ajman win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.7% |
Ajman vs Hatta SC stats
Ajman vs Hatta SC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Ajman vs Hatta SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.0%, draw 24.0%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.42 | 4.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.95 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 3.42 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.54 | 5.50 |
| SBO | 1.63 | 3.55 | 3.95 |
| Superbet | 1.68 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.20 |