United Arab Emirates Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Baniyas SC
vs
Dubai United
2 – 3 Full time
Baniyas SC
49%
Draw
22%
Dubai United
29%
Baniyas SC vs Dubai United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Baniyas SC vs Dubai United
| Probability | Baniyas SC | Draw | Dubai United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 22.1% | 28.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.0% | 22.1% | 28.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Baniyas SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.66.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
74%
No goals
3%
Baniyas SC and Dubai United expected goals
Baniyas SC
2.18
Dubai United
1.66
Total expected goals: 3.84
Baniyas SC and Dubai United attack and defence ratings
Baniyas SC
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.24 +24%
Dubai United
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.41 +41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Baniyas SC vs Dubai United: result vs prediction
Baniyas SC 2 – 3 Dubai United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Baniyas SC vs Dubai United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baniyas SC | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baniyas SC | 49.0% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Dubai United | 28.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.6% |
| No | 27.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Baniyas SC win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Baniyas SC vs Dubai United stats
Baniyas SC and Dubai United recent form
| Baniyas SC |
LLDDWD |
| Dubai United |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.