United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC

2 – 1 Full time

23′F. Kruspzky
42′Y. Niakate
45′F. Kruspzky
53′M. Camara
64′JadsomG. Alvarez
71′M. GhorbaniM. Dehghan
71′A. Gnezda CerinB. Diarra
71′R. MarcianoJ. Awoute
73′A. Koroma
79′F. AwanaA. Diallo
84′D. Isaila
85′A. El MajhedR. Rivas
85′A. AgbinoneC. Benteke
89′A. Zouhir

Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu DhabiReferee: A. Al Naqbi

Al Wahda FC 54%
Draw 24%
Baniyas SC 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl Wahda FCDrawBaniyas SC
Model39.8%25.6%34.6%
Market58.4%23.3%18.3%
Final53.8%23.8%22.4%
Edge-18.6%+2.4%+16.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Wahda FC ↓ / Baniyas SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Al Wahda FC and Baniyas SC expected goals

Al Wahda FC 1.66
Baniyas SC 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.17

Al Wahda FC and Baniyas SC attack and defence ratings

Al Wahda FC

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Baniyas SC

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC: result vs prediction

Al Wahda FC 2 – 1 Baniyas SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Wahda FC 53.8% 1.86 -18.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.3% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.6% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.7% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Wahda FC53.8%
Draw23.8%
Baniyas SC22.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.3%
Under 2.538.7%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.6%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)46.2%
Handicap -1Al Wahda FC win21.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss59.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-18.7%
1-28.0%

Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC stats

Al Wahda FC and Baniyas SC recent form

newest first
Al Wahda FC LLLDLW
Baniyas SC LLLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Al Wahda FC wins 0Draws 1Baniyas SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-12Baniyas SCAl Wahda FCUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-0
2026-01-06Al Wahda FCBaniyas SCUnited Arab Emirates Pro League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.4%, draw 23.3%, away 18.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.63 3.75 4.80
1xBet 1.55 3.92 5.01
BetVictor 1.53 4.00 5.25
Betano 1.65 3.80 4.75
Betfair 1.53 4.00 5.00
Marathonbet 1.53 3.92 4.95
Pinnacle 1.57 4.18 5.02
William Hill 1.57 3.80 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.56 ▼ -0.13
X 3.92 ▲ +0.18
2 4.97 ▲ +0.76

10 snapshots recorded, from .