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United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra

2 – 0 Full time

Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor FakkanReferee: S. Mohamed

Khorfakkan 50%
Draw 27%
Al-Dhafra 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKhorfakkanDrawAl-Dhafra
Model50.0%26.7%23.3%
Market———
Final50.0%26.7%23.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Khorfakkan

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.07.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Khorfakkan ↓ / Al-Dhafra → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Khorfakkan and Al-Dhafra expected goals

Khorfakkan 1.67
Al-Dhafra 1.07

Total expected goals: 2.73

Khorfakkan and Al-Dhafra attack and defence ratings

Khorfakkan

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Al-Dhafra

Attack 0.55 -45%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra: result vs prediction

Khorfakkan 2 – 0 Al-Dhafra

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Khorfakkan 50.0% 2.00 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.4% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.7% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Khorfakkan50.0%
Draw26.7%
Al-Dhafra23.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.4%
Under 2.548.6%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.7%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)50.0%
Handicap -1Khorfakkan win27.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss49.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-09.7%
2-19.6%

Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra stats

Khorfakkan and Al-Dhafra recent form

newest first
Khorfakkan LLLDDD
Al-Dhafra LLWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

6Khorfakkan wins 0Draws 3Al-Dhafra wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-06Al-DhafraKhorfakkanUnited Arab Emirates Pro League2-3
2026-01-02KhorfakkanAl-DhafraUnited Arab Emirates Pro League2-3
2023-04-18Al-DhafraKhorfakkanPro League1-3
2022-11-11KhorfakkanAl-DhafraPro League4-3
2022-03-05Al-DhafraKhorfakkanPro League4-1
2021-12-04Al-DhafraKhorfakkanLeague Cup1-2
2021-09-24KhorfakkanAl-DhafraPro League3-0
2021-03-07KhorfakkanAl-DhafraPro League5-1
2020-11-21Al-DhafraKhorfakkanPro League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.