Al Ain
vs
Khorfakkan
2 – 0 Full time
Al Ain vs Khorfakkan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ain vs Khorfakkan
| Probability | Al Ain | Draw | Khorfakkan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 88.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Market | 72.7% | 16.5% | 10.8% |
| Final | 76.6% | 14.4% | 9.0% |
| Edge | +15.7% | -8.4% | -7.2% |
Why Al Ain
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.77 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al Ain below the model: +15.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Ain and Khorfakkan expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.56
Al Ain and Khorfakkan attack and defence ratings
Al Ain
Khorfakkan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Ain vs Khorfakkan: result vs prediction
Al Ain 2 – 0 Khorfakkan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Ain vs Khorfakkan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ain | 76.6% | 1.31 | +15.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ain win | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ain | 76.6% |
| Draw | 14.4% | |
| Khorfakkan | 9.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 23.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ain win | 75.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.3% | |
| Loss | 11.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 9.3% |
| 4-0 | 8.8% | |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
Al Ain vs Khorfakkan stats
Al Ain and Khorfakkan recent form
| Al Ain |
WWWWWW |
| Khorfakkan |
LLDDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Ain vs Khorfakkan head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Khorfakkan | Al Ain | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Al Ain | Khorfakkan | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Ain vs Khorfakkan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.8%, draw 16.6%, away 10.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.22 | 5.40 | 12.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.22 | 5.80 | 9.30 |
| 888Sport | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 5.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.27 | 5.80 | 8.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 5.80 | 9.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 6.39 | 8.75 |
| SBO | 1.26 | 5.03 | 6.57 |
| Superbet | 1.27 | 5.75 | 7.90 |
| Unibet | 1.22 | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .