United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Al-Wasl FC vs Khorfakkan

5 – 2 Full time

17′Siaka Sidibe
23′Nicolás Giménez
51′Junior Flemmings
60′Abdalla Ali Hassan Mohamed Rashid Al NaqbiSelim Amallah
60′Aylton Boa MorteAdama Diallo
60′Nicolás GiménezAli Saleh
60′Brahian PalaciosFabio De Lima
61′Pedro Jorge Gonçalves Malheiro
70′HugoAbdelrahman Saleh
70′Mehdi TaremiRenato Barbosa dos Santos Júnior
72′Adryelson Shawann Lima Silva
72′Jean Frederic Kouadio N'Guessan
74′Pedro PavlovIlyass Lagrimi
74′Ahmed Abdalla MohamadYousef Al Ameri
76′Akram Nakach
82′Adryelson Shawann Lima SilvaSaša Ivković
83′Jean Frederic Kouadio N'GuessanAhmed Barman Ali Barman Shamroukh Hammoudi
88′Junior Flemmings
90′Renato Barbosa dos Santos Júnior

Zabeel Stadium, DubaiReferee: S. A. Ali

Al-Wasl FC 71%
Draw 18%
Khorfakkan 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 5
60 Possession % 40
7 Corners 4
10 Fouls 4
4 Offsides 2
2 Saves 4
395 Accurate passes 252

Al-Wasl FC vs Khorfakkan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Wasl FC vs Khorfakkan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Wasl FCDrawKhorfakkan
Model70.2%17.7%12.1%
Market71.1%17.5%11.5%
Final70.9%17.5%11.6%
Edge-0.8%+0.2%+0.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Wasl FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Wasl FC ↓ / Khorfakkan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 8% 2 9% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 9% 10% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 3%

Al-Wasl FC and Khorfakkan expected goals

Al-Wasl FC 2.59
Khorfakkan 1.03

Total expected goals: 3.61

Al-Wasl FC and Khorfakkan attack and defence ratings

Al-Wasl FC

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Khorfakkan

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Wasl FC vs Khorfakkan: result vs prediction

Al-Wasl FC 5 – 2 Khorfakkan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Wasl FC vs Khorfakkan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Wasl FC 70.9% 1.41 -0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.0% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.0% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.4% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Al-Wasl FC win 49.6% 2.02 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Wasl FC70.9%
Draw17.5%
Khorfakkan11.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.0%
Under 2.530.0%
Both teams to scoreYes60.0%
No40.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.4%
12 (either side)82.5%
X2 (draw or away)29.1%
Handicap -1Al-Wasl FC win49.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss29.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.3%
2-09.0%
3-18.0%

Al-Wasl FC vs Khorfakkan stats

Al-Wasl FC and Khorfakkan recent form

newest first
Al-Wasl FC LWWWWW
Khorfakkan WLLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Wasl FC vs Khorfakkan head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Al-Wasl FC wins 2Draws 4Khorfakkan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-28Al-Wasl FCKhorfakkanUnited Arab Emirates Pro League0-1
2025-10-31KhorfakkanAl-Wasl FCUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-1
2025-02-26KhorfakkanAl-Wasl FCPro League2-1
2024-10-05Al-Wasl FCKhorfakkanPro League3-4
2024-03-30Al-Wasl FCKhorfakkanPro League3-0
2023-09-30KhorfakkanAl-Wasl FCPro League3-3
2023-05-11KhorfakkanAl-Wasl FCPro League1-5
2023-01-22Al-Wasl FCKhorfakkanPro League3-0
2022-11-25Al-Wasl FCKhorfakkanLeague Cup0-4
2022-10-12KhorfakkanAl-Wasl FCLeague Cup2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Wasl FC vs Khorfakkan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 71.1%, draw 17.5%, away 11.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.29 5.10 8.50
1xBet 1.26 5.50 8.05
Bet365 1.28 4.50 8.00
BetVictor 1.29 5.25 8.00
Betano 1.31 5.30 7.70
Betfair 1.25 5.00 8.00
Dafabet 1.29 5.60 7.80
Marathonbet 1.24 5.60 8.00
Pinnacle 1.31 6.13 7.62
SBO 1.27 4.75 6.09
Superbet 1.29 5.60 7.40
Unibet 1.28 4.90 8.00
William Hill 1.30 5.00 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.29 ▲ +0.03
X 5.25 ▼ -0.25
2 8.00 —

8 snapshots recorded, from .