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United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Al Ain vs Al-Wasl FC

2 – 2 Full time

14′Jonatas SantosSoufiane Rahimi
33′Abdoul Karim Traoré
38′Nicolás Giménez
43′Hugo
45′Vladimir Ivić
53′Mehdi Taremi
63′Rafa RodriguesErik Jorgens de Menezes
63′Giorgos GiakoumakisHoussine Rahimi
65′Brahian PalaciosAli Saleh
73′Mehdi Taremi
80′Mehdi TaremiRenato Barbosa dos Santos Júnior
80′Siaka SidibeSaša Ivković
82′Valentino Lazaro
84′Djordje Skoko
90′Sérgio AndradeFabio De Lima
90′Nicolás GiménezCameron Puertas
90′Alejandro Romero Gamarra
90′Alejandro Romero GamarraIbrahima Junior Ndiaye

Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium, Al AinReferee: M. Mariani

Al Ain 53%
Draw 24%
Al-Wasl FC 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
60 Possession % 40
5 Corners 1
10 Fouls 9
0 Saves 6
348 Accurate passes 234

Al Ain vs Al-Wasl FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ain vs Al-Wasl FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl AinDrawAl-Wasl FC
Model59.2%21.7%19.1%
Market50.7%24.6%24.8%
Final52.8%23.9%23.4%
Edge+8.5%-2.9%-5.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Ain

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.21.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Al Ain below the model: +8.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Ain ↓ / Al-Wasl FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Al Ain and Al-Wasl FC expected goals

Al Ain 2.21
Al-Wasl FC 1.21

Total expected goals: 3.42

Al Ain and Al-Wasl FC attack and defence ratings

Al Ain

Attack 1.70 +70%
Defence 0.54 -46%

Al-Wasl FC

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Ain vs Al-Wasl FC: result vs prediction

Al Ain 2 – 2 Al-Wasl FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Al Ain vs Al-Wasl FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Ain 52.8% 1.89 +8.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.4% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.6% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.8% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Ain52.8%
Draw23.9%
Al-Wasl FC23.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.4%
Under 2.533.6%
Both teams to scoreYes63.3%
No36.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.6%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)47.2%
Handicap -1Al Ain win37.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss40.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.7%
1-19.6%
2-08.0%

Al Ain vs Al-Wasl FC stats

Al Ain and Al-Wasl FC recent form

newest first
Al Ain WWWWWW
Al-Wasl FC WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Ain vs Al-Wasl FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Al Ain wins 3Draws 3Al-Wasl FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-12Al AinAl-Wasl FCUnited Arab Emirates Pro League2-0
2025-09-13Al-Wasl FCAl AinUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-1
2025-02-22Al-Wasl FCAl AinPro League1-0
2024-09-26Al AinAl-Wasl FCPro League4-2
2024-05-29Al AinAl-Wasl FCPro League2-4
2023-11-02Al-Wasl FCAl AinPro League3-1
2023-05-07Al-Wasl FCAl AinPro League2-3
2023-04-14Al AinAl-Wasl FCPresidents Cup1-0
2023-04-05Al-Wasl FCAl AinPresidents Cup0-0
2022-12-24Al AinAl-Wasl FCPro League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Ain vs Al-Wasl FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 24.2%, away 23.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.71 3.95 3.95
1xBet 1.79 3.70 3.70
888Sport 1.67 3.80 3.90
Bet365 1.70 3.60 3.80
BetVictor 1.83 3.75 3.50
Betano 1.78 3.85 3.90
Betfair 1.62 4.00 4.20
Dafabet 1.75 3.85 4.00
Marathonbet 1.77 3.70 3.64
Pinnacle 1.88 3.97 3.71
SBO 1.70 3.47 3.70
Superbet 1.76 3.80 4.00
Unibet 1.68 3.60 4.00
William Hill 1.80 3.50 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.79 ▲ +0.14
X 3.70 ▼ -0.24
2 3.67 ▼ -0.56

12 snapshots recorded, from .