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United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr

1 – 1 Full time

10′Bruno De Oliveira
17′Issam Faiz
29′Wesley Delgado
45′Chris BediaAbdoulaye Toure
49′Abdoulaye Sanogo
55′Wesley DelgadoNassim Chadli
57′Bruno De OliveiraVinicius Mello
59′Willyan Rocha
61′Mehdi Ghayedi
69′Marius MarinFelipe de Souza Motta Marins
70′Kristjan AsllaniRuben Amaral
70′Igor Eduardo SchlemperMohammed Rabii
80′Mehdi GhayediKevin Agudelo
89′Mamadou CoulibalyAli Al-Memari
90′Marcus Vinicius Barbosa MeloniAnthony Dennis

Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu DhabiReferee: J. Pinheiro

Al-Jazira 63%
Draw 21%
Al Nasr 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
61 Possession % 39
6 Corners 3
9 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 1
0 Saves 3
469 Accurate passes 271

Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-JaziraDrawAl Nasr
Model62.8%20.8%16.4%
Market62.6%20.8%16.6%
Final62.7%20.8%16.6%
Edge+0.2%-0.0%-0.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Jazira

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Jazira ↓ / Al Nasr → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 9% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Al-Jazira and Al Nasr expected goals

Al-Jazira 2.28
Al Nasr 1.11

Total expected goals: 3.39

Al-Jazira and Al Nasr attack and defence ratings

Al-Jazira

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Al Nasr

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr: result vs prediction

Al-Jazira 1 – 1 Al Nasr

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Jazira 62.7% 1.60 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.9% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.4% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Al-Jazira win 41.2% 2.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Jazira62.7%
Draw20.8%
Al Nasr16.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.9%
Under 2.534.1%
Both teams to scoreYes61.1%
No38.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.4%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)37.3%
Handicap -1Al-Jazira win41.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss37.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.7%
1-19.4%
2-08.7%

Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr stats

Al-Jazira and Al Nasr recent form

newest first
Al-Jazira WWWWWL
Al Nasr LLWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Al-Jazira wins 1Draws 3Al Nasr wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-24Al NasrAl-JaziraUnited Arab Emirates Pro League3-2
2025-09-13Al-JaziraAl NasrUnited Arab Emirates Pro League0-0
2025-02-23Al NasrAl-JaziraPro League2-3
2024-09-28Al-JaziraAl NasrPro League3-1
2024-02-24Al-JaziraAl NasrPro League2-3
2023-08-19Al NasrAl-JaziraPro League1-3
2023-04-07Al-JaziraAl NasrPro League4-3
2022-11-04Al NasrAl-JaziraPro League0-2
2022-02-19Al NasrAl-JaziraPro League2-0
2021-09-11Al-JaziraAl NasrPro League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.6%, draw 20.8%, away 16.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.54 4.20 4.90
1xBet 1.44 4.40 5.63
888Sport 1.44 4.20 5.00
Bet365 1.48 4.00 5.50
BetVictor 1.45 4.40 5.50
Betano 1.50 4.30 5.50
Betfair 1.44 4.40 5.00
Marathonbet 1.43 4.40 5.45
Pinnacle 1.50 4.79 5.48
SBO 1.40 4.15 5.22
Superbet 1.46 4.55 5.45
William Hill 1.44 4.20 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.44 ▲ +0.04
X 4.35 ▼ -0.25
2 5.45 ▼ -0.42

5 snapshots recorded, from .