Dubai United
vs
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 – 1 Full time
| 42′ | Marcos Souza Moraes | ||
| 45′ | Hamid Yahya Mohamed Al Jabri | ||
| 45′ | Adeel Al-ChadliShavy Babicka | ||
| 45′ | Rikelme Hernandes Amorim RochaThiago Scarpino | ||
| 55′ | A. Karimi | ||
| 58′ | El Mehdi Maouhoub | ||
| 74′ | Saeid Ezatolahi | ||
| 74′ | Moustapha Name | ||
| 75′ | Sultan AdilFederico Nicolas Cartabia | ||
| 75′ | Yuri CésarMateus Dias Lima | ||
| 75′ | Jonas NaafoMajid Ibrahim Surour Khamis Salim | ||
| 82′ | Moustapha NameBaidy Kane | ||
| 83′ | Willy SemedoPape Guèye | ||
| 86′ | Jahnoah MarkeloYahya Al-Ghassani | ||
| 88′ | André Soares Jardine | ||
| 90′ | Saeid EzatolahiElian Mateo Irala | ||
| 90′ | El Mehdi MaouhoubDieu-Merci Ndembo-Michel |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 257 | Accurate passes | 328 |
Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
| Probability | Dubai United | Draw | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.0% | 18.0% | 58.0% |
| Market | 10.6% | 17.2% | 72.2% |
| Final | 14.0% | 17.4% | 68.7% |
| Edge | +13.4% | +0.8% | -14.2% |
Why Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 1.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dubai United and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.82
Dubai United and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai attack and defence ratings
Dubai United
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: result vs prediction
Dubai United 1 – 1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 68.7% | 1.46 | -14.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dubai United | 14.0% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 68.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 14.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.0% |
| No | 19.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 31.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win | 39.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 42.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 6.5% |
| 1-3 | 6.3% | |
| 2-2 | 6.2% |
Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai stats
Dubai United and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai recent form
| Dubai United |
LWWL |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
LWWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Dubai United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.6%, draw 17.2%, away 72.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.35 | 5.20 | 1.25 |
| 888Sport | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 5.25 | 1.25 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 7.60 | 5.60 | 1.30 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.20 |
| Dafabet | 7.80 | 6.00 | 1.28 |
| Marathonbet | 9.00 | 5.20 | 1.24 |
| Pinnacle | 9.42 | 5.59 | 1.28 |
| SBO | 6.66 | 5.22 | 1.25 |
| Superbet | 7.40 | 5.85 | 1.28 |
| Unibet | 7.50 | 5.10 | 1.28 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |