United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira

1 – 3 Full time

2′Guilherme da Silva Goncalves
14′Willyan Rocha
19′Igor Gomes
45′Malcom
45′Guilherme da Silva GoncalvesJahnoah Markelo
45′Vinicius MelloAnderson Talisca
55′Marcus Vinicius Barbosa Meloni
58′Sardar AzmounSultan Adil
58′Rikelme Hernandes Amorim RochaMersad Seifi
62′Ravil TagirNermin Mujkić
64′Bruno De OliveiraKristjan Asllani
67′Federico Nicolas CartabiaMohammad Juma
74′Yuri CésarMateus Dias Lima
75′Igor Eduardo Schlemper
81′Marcus Vinicius Barbosa MeloniAnthony Dennis
90′Kristjan Asllani
90′Ruben AmaralMohammed Rabii

Al Rashid Stadium, DubaiReferee: G. Tejera

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 45%
Draw 25%
Al-Jazira 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
62 Possession % 38
2 Corners 2
6 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
453 Accurate passes 272

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShabab Al Ahli DubaiDrawAl-Jazira
Model41.3%24.8%33.9%
Market46.8%25.3%28.0%
Final45.4%25.1%29.5%
Edge-5.5%-0.5%+6.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shabab Al Ahli ↓ / Al-Jazira → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Jazira expected goals

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.75
Al-Jazira 1.58

Total expected goals: 3.33

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Jazira attack and defence ratings

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Al-Jazira

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira: result vs prediction

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 – 3 Al-Jazira

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 45.4% 2.20 -5.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.6% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.7% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shabab Al Ahli Dubai45.4%
Draw25.1%
Al-Jazira29.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.7%
Under 2.535.3%
Both teams to scoreYes66.6%
No33.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.5%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)54.6%
Handicap -1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win22.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss58.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-18.7%
1-27.8%

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira stats

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Jazira recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Shabab Al Ahli Dubai wins 2Draws 2Al-Jazira wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-JaziraUnited Arab Emirates Pro League2-1
2026-03-21Al-JaziraShabab Al Ahli DubaiPresidents Cup1-0
2026-01-03Al-JaziraShabab Al Ahli DubaiUnited Arab Emirates Pro League0-3
2025-05-25Al-JaziraShabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League1-2
2025-04-19Al-JaziraShabab Al Ahli DubaiLeague Cup2-1
2025-01-21Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-JaziraPro League2-1
2024-04-07Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAl-JaziraPro League3-2
2023-10-07Al-JaziraShabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League1-1
2023-03-11Al-JaziraShabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League2-3
2022-12-15Al-JaziraShabab Al Ahli DubaiLeague Cup2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.3%, draw 26.8%, away 27.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.10 3.25 3.30
1xBet 1.95 3.38 3.44
Bet365 1.91 3.70 3.20
BetVictor 1.95 3.70 3.20
Betano 2.15 3.20 3.35
Betfair 2.20 3.30 3.00
Dafabet 2.16 3.20 3.25
Marathonbet 1.95 3.38 3.32
Pinnacle 2.00 3.62 3.65
Superbet 2.17 3.20 3.25
William Hill 1.95 3.60 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▼ -0.19
X 3.61 ▲ +0.46
2 3.26 ▲ +0.02

10 snapshots recorded, from .