Al-Ittihad Kalba
vs
Al Ain
0 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | Adyson do Nascimento Soares | ||
| 21′ | Abdoul Karim Traoré | ||
| 32′ | Baba Bello Ilou | ||
| 45′ | Rafa RodriguesErik Jorgens de Menezes | ||
| 45′ | Adyson do Nascimento SoaresSaman Ghoddos | ||
| 45′ | Waleed RashidMarwan Fahad Hamza | ||
| 58′ | Antônio Fialho de Carvalho NetoAli Hassan Salmin | ||
| 58′ | Baba Bello IlouJonatas Santos | ||
| 65′ | Ahmed Shehda AbunamousKoray Günter | ||
| 72′ | Ahmad NourollahiBenjamin Tetteh | ||
| 74′ | Marcel RatnikAmadu Saidou Niang | ||
| 88′ | Giorgos GiakoumakisHazim Abbas | ||
| 88′ | Valentino LazaroDjordje Skoko |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 8 |
| 400 | Accurate passes | 387 |
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain
| Probability | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Draw | Al Ain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 3.6% | 8.8% | 87.6% |
| Market | 7.6% | 14.0% | 78.4% |
| Final | 6.6% | 12.7% | 80.7% |
| Edge | -4.0% | -5.2% | +9.2% |
Why Al Ain
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.53 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al Ain below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al Ain expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.24
Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al Ain attack and defence ratings
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Ain
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain: result vs prediction
Al-Ittihad Kalba 0 – 2 Al Ain
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ain | 80.7% | 1.24 | +9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ain win | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 6.6% |
| Draw | 12.7% | |
| Al Ain | 80.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 19.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 93.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ain win | 73.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.4% | |
| Loss | 12.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 10.5% |
| 0-4 | 9.3% | |
| 0-2 | 9.0% |
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain stats
Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al Ain recent form
| Al-Ittihad Kalba |
LLDLLD |
| Al Ain |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Al Ain | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2025-12-20 | Al Ain | Al-Ittihad Kalba | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Al Ain | League Cup | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Al Ain | Al-Ittihad Kalba | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-13 | Al Ain | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2024-12-11 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Al Ain | Pro League | 3-3 |
| 2024-09-07 | Al Ain | Al-Ittihad Kalba | League Cup | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Al Ain | League Cup | 2-3 |
| 2024-05-16 | Al Ain | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-03 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | Al Ain | Presidents Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.6%, draw 14.0%, away 78.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 15.00 | 6.20 | 1.16 |
| 1xBet | 13.20 | 6.95 | 1.12 |
| Bet365 | 11.00 | 5.25 | 1.20 |
| BetVictor | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.15 |
| Betano | 11.25 | 6.20 | 1.20 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.13 |
| Dafabet | 12.00 | 6.80 | 1.18 |
| Marathonbet | 12.00 | 6.45 | 1.15 |
| Pinnacle | 11.59 | 7.40 | 1.19 |
| SBO | 8.87 | 5.61 | 1.15 |
| Superbet | 11.00 | 7.20 | 1.16 |
| Unibet | 11.00 | 6.40 | 1.16 |
| William Hill | 12.00 | 6.50 | 1.17 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .