Garuda Lions
Today
United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Al Nasr vs Ajman

1 – 2 Full time

26′Ajdin Hrustic
31′Marius Marin
41′Walid Azarou
56′Sékou Baba GassamaSaad El Hadani
56′Lithierry da Silva NevesVictor Henrique Cardoso Santos
61′Kevin AgudeloAbdoulaye Toure
65′Walid Azarou
72′Yassine JabriFradj Ben Njima
73′Saad El Hadani
75′Mehdi GhayediMohammad Abdulbasit
75′Marius MarinWesley Delgado
86′Kevin Agudelo
86′Mohamed Nasser
89′JobsonBilal Yousif
89′Lourency do Nascimento RodriguesMohammad Juma Eid
90′Zayed SultanJoão Moreira
90′David PetrovicAbdulla Idrees
90′Gláuber Siqueira dos Santos Lima
90′Chris Bedia

Al Maktoum Stadium, DubaiReferee: N. Alali

Al Nasr 46%
Draw 26%
Ajman 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
51 Possession % 49
8 Corners 3
14 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 3
2 Saves 3
270 Accurate passes 259

Al Nasr vs Ajman overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Nasr vs Ajman

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl NasrDrawAjman
Model44.2%24.4%31.4%
Market47.1%26.1%26.7%
Final46.4%25.7%27.9%
Edge-3.0%-1.7%+4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Nasr

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.53.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Nasr ↓ / Ajman → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Al Nasr and Ajman expected goals

Al Nasr 1.84
Ajman 1.53

Total expected goals: 3.37

Al Nasr and Ajman attack and defence ratings

Al Nasr

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Ajman

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Nasr vs Ajman: result vs prediction

Al Nasr 1 – 2 Ajman

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Al Nasr vs Ajman markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Nasr 46.4% 2.16 -3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.5% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.9% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Nasr46.4%
Draw25.7%
Ajman27.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.5%
Under 2.534.5%
Both teams to scoreYes66.9%
No33.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.1%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)53.6%
Handicap -1Al Nasr win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-18.9%
1-27.4%

Al Nasr vs Ajman stats

Al Nasr and Ajman recent form

newest first
Al Nasr LWDDWL
Ajman LWWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Nasr vs Ajman head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Al Nasr wins 3Draws 2Ajman wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-15AjmanAl NasrUnited Arab Emirates Pro League2-2
2025-08-24Al NasrAjmanUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-0
2025-02-27AjmanAl NasrPro League2-1
2024-10-05Al NasrAjmanPro League3-1
2024-05-21Al NasrAjmanPro League1-1
2024-04-02AjmanAl NasrPresidents Cup1-2
2023-12-16AjmanAl NasrPro League0-3
2023-09-14Al NasrAjmanLeague Cup4-1
2023-08-30AjmanAl NasrLeague Cup2-2
2023-02-04AjmanAl NasrPro League4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Nasr vs Ajman odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 25.8%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.97 3.55 3.30
1xBet 1.91 3.50 3.44
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.50
BetVictor 1.93 3.60 3.40
Betano 2.00 3.55 3.30
Betfair 1.91 3.60 3.25
Marathonbet 1.89 3.50 3.38
Pinnacle 1.97 3.80 3.55
Superbet 2.00 3.60 3.30
William Hill 1.95 3.30 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.94 ▼ -0.01
X 3.50 ▼ -0.05
2 3.42 ▲ +0.12

5 snapshots recorded, from .