United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC

0 – 1 Full time

12′Rostand Delord Menpweh Djooh
61′MarcelinhoKhaled Bawazir
61′Arielson Sampaio·GalvaoSory Kaba
66′Asher AgbinoneBrahima Diarra
67′Samir De Souza
74′Abdulla Hamad
79′Adam Gnezda ČerinChristian Benteke
79′Moussa DiarraGonalo Moura Oliveira
81′Facundo Kruspzky
85′Vinicius Lima SerafimKarim El Berkaoui
88′Dominique MendyMohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Alhammadi
89′Amanallah MjahedRenne Rivas
89′Omar KharbinMohammad Ghorbani

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Madinat ZayedReferee: Y. Al Mulla

Al-Dhafra 17%
Draw 22%
Al Wahda FC 60%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
36 Possession % 64
6 Corners 1
14 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2
1 Saves 4
226 Accurate passes 471

Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-DhafraDrawAl Wahda FC
Model15.5%26.1%58.4%
Market18.1%20.7%61.1%
Final17.5%22.1%60.4%
Edge-2.7%+5.4%-2.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Wahda FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.76.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Dhafra ↓ / Al Wahda FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 14% 12% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Al-Dhafra and Al Wahda FC expected goals

Al-Dhafra 0.76
Al Wahda FC 1.68

Total expected goals: 2.44

Al-Dhafra and Al Wahda FC attack and defence ratings

Al-Dhafra

Attack 0.51 -49%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Al Wahda FC

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC: result vs prediction

Al-Dhafra 0 – 1 Al Wahda FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Wahda FC 60.4% 1.65 -2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.5% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.6% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Dhafra17.5%
Draw22.1%
Al Wahda FC60.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.0%
Under 2.556.0%
Both teams to scoreYes44.3%
No55.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)39.6%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)82.5%
Handicap -1Al Wahda FC win33.3%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss41.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-113.6%
0-212.3%
1-112.2%

Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC stats

Al-Dhafra and Al Wahda FC recent form

newest first
Al-Dhafra LLLWLD
Al Wahda FC WLLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Al-Dhafra wins 1Draws 8Al Wahda FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16Al-DhafraAl Wahda FCUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-0
2025-10-24Al Wahda FCAl-DhafraPresidents Cup3-1
2025-09-19Al Wahda FCAl-DhafraUnited Arab Emirates Pro League5-2
2023-03-17Al-DhafraAl Wahda FCPro League1-3
2022-10-25Al Wahda FCAl-DhafraPro League4-2
2022-04-22Al Wahda FCAl-DhafraPro League3-2
2021-10-29Al-DhafraAl Wahda FCPro League1-3
2021-03-16Al-DhafraAl Wahda FCPro League0-3
2020-12-01Al Wahda FCAl-DhafraPro League1-1
2020-03-14Al-DhafraAl Wahda FCPro League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.1%, draw 20.7%, away 61.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.00 4.55 1.47
Bet365 5.00 4.20 1.48
BetVictor 5.25 4.20 1.50
Marathonbet 5.00 4.60 1.44
Pinnacle 5.24 5.11 1.49
William Hill 4.80 4.00 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.00 ▲ +0.77
X 4.38 ▲ +0.60
2 1.48 ▼ -0.18

3 snapshots recorded, from .