United Arab Emirates Pro League · 2026-09-11T13:40:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

Hatta SC vs Al-Dhafra

1 – 2 Full time

24′			Amjad Al Sayed
40′			Youssef Al-Marzooqi
45′			Tahnoon Alzaabi
45′			Seifeddine JaziriKhauan Schlickmann Carmon
45′			Youssef Al-MarzooqiKhaled Bawazir
45′			MarcelinhoKarim El Berkaoui
57′			Rostand Delord Menpweh Djooh
57′			Pedro Henrique Fonseca de Araújo MartinsAyman Rchoq
72′			Abdullah Al Karbi
77′			Sory KabaArielson Sampaio·Galvao
83′			Drissa CoulibalyHamdan Humaid Hasan Ahmed Albeshr
84′			Karim El Berkaoui
85′			Mohamed El KhalouiMohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Alhammadi
85′			Dominique MendyZackariah Mohammed
90′			Adham Khalid Ali AbdelhameedBernard Babacar Faye

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum Stadium, HattaReferee: A. Hussain Bilal

Hatta SC

39%

Draw

27%

Al-Dhafra

34%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

14	Shots	17
3	Shots on target	7
42	Possession %	58
3	Corners	4
8	Fouls	11
5	Saves	3
309	Accurate passes	439

Hatta SC vs Al-Dhafra overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hatta SC vs Al-Dhafra

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Hatta SC	Draw	Al-Dhafra
Model	55.3%	27.3%	17.4%
Market	33.3%	26.8%	39.9%
Final	38.8%	27.0%	34.3%
Edge	+22.0%	+0.5%	-22.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Hatta SC

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.80.
The market prices Hatta SC below the model: +22.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

70%

3+ goals

43%

No goals

10%

Hatta SC and Al-Dhafra expected goals

Hatta SC

1.60

Al-Dhafra

0.80

Total expected goals: 2.40

Hatta SC and Al-Dhafra attack and defence ratings

Hatta SC

Attack

0.86 -14%

Defence

1.21 +21%

Al-Dhafra

Attack

0.46 -54%

Defence

1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hatta SC vs Al-Dhafra: result vs prediction

Hatta SC 1 – 2 Al-Dhafra

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr · 2026-09-10
Dubai United v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — match page · 2026-09-10
Al Ain vs Al-Wasl FC — team news & stats · 2026-09-10
Khorfakkan v Baniyas SC — match page · 2026-09-11
Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
Ajman vs Al-Ittihad Kalba · 2026-09-11

Before and after this match

Hatta SC, previous: Baniyas SC vs Hatta SC: odds and pick
Al-Dhafra, previous: Al-Dhafra v Al Wahda FC analysis
Al-Dhafra, next: Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United prediction

Hatta SC vs Al-Dhafra markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Hatta SC	38.8%	2.58	+22.0%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	57.1%	1.75	—	—
Both teams to score	No	55.0%	1.82	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.0%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	44.7%	2.24	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Hatta SC	38.8%
	Draw	27.0%
	Al-Dhafra	34.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	42.9%
	Under 2.5	57.1%
Both teams to score	Yes	45.0%
	No	55.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	65.7%
	12 (either side)	73.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	61.2%
Handicap -1	Hatta SC win	30.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	24.9%
	Loss	44.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-0	13.4%
	1-1	12.8%
	2-0	11.7%

Hatta SC vs Al-Dhafra stats

Hatta SC and Al-Dhafra recent form

newest first

Hatta SC	WLLL
Al-Dhafra	LLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Hatta SC vs Al-Dhafra head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Hatta SC wins 2Draws 5Al-Dhafra wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-02-22	Al-Dhafra	Hatta SC	Division 1	5-2
2024-12-20	Hatta SC	Al-Dhafra	Division 1	1-0
2024-10-01	Hatta SC	Al-Dhafra	Presidents Cup	0-0
2021-04-02	Hatta SC	Al-Dhafra	Pro League	2-2
2020-12-17	Al-Dhafra	Hatta SC	Pro League	1-0
2020-01-02	Hatta SC	Al-Dhafra	Pro League	1-2
2018-04-06	Hatta SC	Al-Dhafra	Pro League	1-2
2017-12-21	Hatta SC	Al-Dhafra	League Cup	1-2
2017-11-24	Al-Dhafra	Hatta SC	Pro League	2-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hatta SC vs Al-Dhafra odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.3%, draw 26.8%, away 39.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.77	3.38	2.26
Bet365	2.70	3.40	2.20
BetVictor	2.75	3.40	2.30
Marathonbet	2.72	3.38	2.24
Pinnacle	2.83	3.57	2.41
William Hill	2.62	3.25	2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.74 ▼ -0.16

X 3.39 ▲ +0.02

2 2.28 ▲ +0.09

2 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-10T16:10:03Z.