Al-Dhafra
vs
Dubai United
5 – 1 Full time
| 32′ | Othman Ramadan | ||
| 33′ | Dominique Mendy | ||
| 40′ | Willy Semedo | ||
| 41′ | Sory Kaba | ||
| 45′ | Hussain Abbas JumaPape Guèye | ||
| 45′ | Moustapha NameMahmoud Dahoud | ||
| 48′ | Sory Kaba | ||
| 56′ | Ezeckiel Noumonvi | ||
| 56′ | Jonas NaafoHaris Seferović | ||
| 62′ | Khaled BawazirMarcelinho | ||
| 68′ | Daraman Komari | ||
| 72′ | Willy SemedoCedrick Steve Nana Djeunou | ||
| 82′ | Sory KabaKarim El Berkaoui | ||
| 82′ | Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed AlhammadiArielson Sampaio·Galvao | ||
| 90′ | Arielson Sampaio·Galvao | ||
| 90′ | Ezeckiel NoumonviVinicius Lima Serafim | ||
| 90′ | Mohamed El KhalouiAdem Ben Fajria |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 28 | Possession % | 72 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 3 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 7 | Saves | 3 |
| 158 | Accurate passes | 514 |
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United
| Probability | Al-Dhafra | Draw | Dubai United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.9% | 21.0% | 62.1% |
| Market | 41.3% | 25.6% | 33.1% |
| Final | 35.2% | 24.5% | 40.3% |
| Edge | -6.1% | -1.1% | +7.3% |
Why Dubai United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.12.
- The market prices Dubai United below our published probability: +7.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Dhafra and Dubai United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.38
Al-Dhafra and Dubai United attack and defence ratings
Al-Dhafra
Dubai United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United: result vs prediction
Al-Dhafra 5 – 1 Dubai United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dubai United | 40.3% | 2.48 | +7.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dubai United win | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Dhafra | 35.2% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Dubai United | 40.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dubai United win | 40.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 37.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 8.7% |
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United stats
Al-Dhafra and Dubai United recent form
| Al-Dhafra |
WLLLLW |
| Dubai United |
DLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Dhafra and Dubai United going into this match
Al-Dhafra record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Dubai United record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Al-Dhafra | Dubai United | Division 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-11 | Dubai United | Al-Dhafra | Division 1 | 3-0 |
| 2024-09-27 | Al-Dhafra | Dubai United | Presidents Cup | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Dubai United | Al-Dhafra | Division 1 | 1-3 |
| 2023-12-16 | Al-Dhafra | Dubai United | Division 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 25.6%, away 33.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.52 | 2.74 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.55 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.52 | 2.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.93 | 2.84 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .