Al-Dhafra
vs
Dubai United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dubai United
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United
| Probability | Al-Dhafra | Draw | Dubai United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.9% | 21.0% | 62.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 16.9% | 21.0% | 62.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dubai United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.12.
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United match preview
Al-Dhafra faces Dubai United in the United Arab Emirates Pro League with a kickoff scheduled for October 16, 2026. According to our model, Al-Dhafra has a 17% chance of winning, while Dubai United is favored at 62%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expected goals for Al-Dhafra stand at 1.12, compared to Dubai United's 2.26.
Recent form shows Al-Dhafra with a sequence of results including two wins and three losses, while Dubai United has had mixed results with one draw and two wins in their last five matches. There is a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring has a likelihood of 61%. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Dhafra and Dubai United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.38
Al-Dhafra and Dubai United attack and defence ratings
Al-Dhafra
Dubai United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dubai United | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dubai United win | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Dhafra | 16.9% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Dubai United | 62.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dubai United win | 40.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 37.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 8.7% |
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United stats
Al-Dhafra and Dubai United recent form
| Al-Dhafra |
WLLLLW |
| Dubai United |
DLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.