United Arab Emirates Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC

2 – 3 Full time

13′Ramiro Vaca
24′Mansour Saleh Burghash
32′Tarik Tissoudali
39′Christian Benteke
45′Christian Benteke
60′Lucas Pimenta
65′Ahmadou CamaraAbdalla Ali Hassan Mohamed Rashid Al Naqbi
65′Rilwanu Haliru SarkiPedro Pavlov
72′Moussa DiarraAmanallah Mjahed
72′Aylton Boa MorteYousef Al Ameri
72′Rafael PereiraAkram Nakach
80′Jadson
81′Adam Gnezda ČerinMobin Dehghan
84′Facundo KruspzkyCaio Canedo
84′Brahima DiarraOmar Kharbin
84′Christian BentekeAsher Agbinone

Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor FakkanReferee: O. Al Ali

Khorfakkan 20%
Draw 24%
Al Wahda FC 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 6
44 Possession % 56
1 Corners 5
7 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
298 Accurate passes 385

Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKhorfakkanDrawAl Wahda FC
Model23.0%28.1%49.0%
Market18.7%22.7%58.6%
Final19.8%24.1%56.2%
Edge+1.1%+1.3%-2.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Al Wahda FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Khorfakkan ↓ / Al Wahda FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 10% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC expected goals

Khorfakkan 0.98
Al Wahda FC 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.52

Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC attack and defence ratings

Khorfakkan

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Al Wahda FC

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC: result vs prediction

Khorfakkan 2 – 3 Al Wahda FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Wahda FC 56.2% 1.78 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.4% 1.99 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.2% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Khorfakkan19.8%
Draw24.1%
Al Wahda FC56.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.2%
Under 2.553.8%
Both teams to scoreYes50.4%
No49.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.8%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)80.2%
Handicap -1Al Wahda FC win25.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss51.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
0-111.1%
0-29.5%

Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC stats

Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC recent form

newest first
Khorfakkan DLWLLL
Al Wahda FC WWWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Khorfakkan record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Al Wahda FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Khorfakkan wins 4Draws 5Al Wahda FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-11KhorfakkanAl Wahda FCUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-1
2025-12-28Al Wahda FCKhorfakkanUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-0
2025-11-30KhorfakkanAl Wahda FCLeague Cup1-2
2025-11-15Al Wahda FCKhorfakkanLeague Cup2-2
2025-02-08Al Wahda FCKhorfakkanPro League3-1
2024-08-30KhorfakkanAl Wahda FCPro League0-1
2024-05-24Al Wahda FCKhorfakkanPro League1-1
2023-12-24KhorfakkanAl Wahda FCPro League3-2
2023-04-24KhorfakkanAl Wahda FCPro League0-2
2022-12-20Al Wahda FCKhorfakkanPro League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.9%, draw 22.7%, away 58.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.88 3.98 1.54
Bet365 4.75 3.80 1.53
BetVictor 5.00 4.00 1.55
Betano 4.70 3.95 1.62
Betfair 5.00 4.00 1.50
Dafabet 4.60 3.95 1.59
Marathonbet 4.80 3.98 1.52
Pinnacle 5.31 4.34 1.57
William Hill 4.60 3.90 1.57

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.84 —
X 3.98 ▲ +0.02
2 1.54 ▼ -0.02

9 snapshots recorded, from .