Khorfakkan
vs
Al Wahda FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Wahda FC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC
| Probability | Khorfakkan | Draw | Al Wahda FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 28.0% | 49.2% |
| Market | 18.7% | 23.1% | 58.3% |
| Final | 19.7% | 24.3% | 56.0% |
| Edge | +4.2% | +5.0% | -9.1% |
Why Al Wahda FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC match preview
Khorfakkan faces Al Wahda FC in the UAE Pro League, with the model assigning a 23% probability of a Khorfakkan victory, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 50% likelihood of an Al Wahda FC win. The expected goals suggest Khorfakkan will score 0.98, while Al Wahda FC is projected to net 1.55. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at an 11% probability.
In terms of recent form, Khorfakkan has recorded a draw and four losses in their last six matches, while Al Wahda FC has achieved three wins but also faced two losses in the same timeframe. Historical head-to-head results show Khorfakkan has not secured a win against Al Wahda FC, with one draw and one victory for Al Wahda FC in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC attack and defence ratings
Khorfakkan
Al Wahda FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Wahda FC | 56.0% | 1.79 | -9.1% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khorfakkan | 19.7% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Al Wahda FC | 56.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Wahda FC win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 0-1 | 11.2% | |
| 0-2 | 9.5% |
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC stats
Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC recent form
| Khorfakkan |
DLWLLL |
| Al Wahda FC |
WWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC season so far
Khorfakkan record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Al Wahda FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Khorfakkan | Al Wahda FC | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Al Wahda FC | Khorfakkan | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Khorfakkan | Al Wahda FC | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Al Wahda FC | Khorfakkan | League Cup | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Al Wahda FC | Khorfakkan | Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-30 | Khorfakkan | Al Wahda FC | Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-24 | Al Wahda FC | Khorfakkan | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-24 | Khorfakkan | Al Wahda FC | Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-24 | Khorfakkan | Al Wahda FC | Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2022-12-20 | Al Wahda FC | Khorfakkan | Pro League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.8%, draw 22.9%, away 58.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.89 | 3.92 | 1.55 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 4.70 | 3.95 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| Dafabet | 4.60 | 3.95 | 1.59 |
| Marathonbet | 4.80 | 3.92 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | 5.16 | 4.12 | 1.57 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .