Ajman
vs
Sharjah FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sharjah FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Ajman vs Sharjah FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ajman vs Sharjah FC
| Probability | Ajman | Draw | Sharjah FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 23.4% | 39.2% |
| Market | 28.6% | 26.1% | 45.3% |
| Final | 30.8% | 25.4% | 43.8% |
| Edge | +8.7% | -2.7% | -6.0% |
Why Sharjah FC
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ajman vs Sharjah FC match preview
Ajman faces Sharjah FC in the United Arab Emirates Pro League on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Ajman has a 37% chance of winning, while Sharjah FC is slightly favored at 40%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with an 8% probability. The expected goals for Ajman stand at 1.80, while Sharjah FC is projected to score 1.87.
Both teams show a strong tendency to score, with our model indicating a 72% likelihood that both will find the net. Additionally, there is a 71% chance of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. In their recent form, Ajman has recorded two wins in their last five matches, while Sharjah FC has been more consistent with three wins in the same period.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ajman and Sharjah FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Ajman and Sharjah FC attack and defence ratings
Ajman
Sharjah FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ajman vs Sharjah FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sharjah FC | 43.8% | 2.28 | -6.0% | 2.07 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ajman | 30.8% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Sharjah FC | 43.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.5% |
| No | 28.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sharjah FC win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
Ajman vs Sharjah FC stats
Ajman and Sharjah FC recent form
| Ajman |
LWLWWD |
| Sharjah FC |
LWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ajman and Sharjah FC season so far
Ajman record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Sharjah FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ajman vs Sharjah FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Ajman | Sharjah FC | League Cup | 3-2 |
| 2026-02-20 | Ajman | Sharjah FC | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Sharjah FC | Ajman | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-22 | Sharjah FC | Ajman | Pro League | 4-0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Ajman | Sharjah FC | Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-24 | Ajman | Sharjah FC | Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-24 | Sharjah FC | Ajman | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-14 | Ajman | Sharjah FC | Presidents Cup | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-05 | Sharjah FC | Ajman | Presidents Cup | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-10 | Sharjah FC | Ajman | Pro League | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ajman vs Sharjah FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.5%, draw 26.0%, away 45.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.20 | 3.44 | 1.99 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.45 | 1.97 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 3.44 | 1.97 |
| Pinnacle | 3.29 | 3.56 | 2.07 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .