Baniyas SC
vs
Al-Wasl FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Wasl FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC
| Probability | Baniyas SC | Draw | Al-Wasl FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.5% | 19.1% | 65.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 15.5% | 19.1% | 65.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Wasl FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.50 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC match preview
Baniyas SC faces Al-Wasl FC in a United Arab Emirates Pro League match on October 16, 2026. According to our model, Baniyas SC has a 15% probability of winning, while Al-Wasl FC stands at 65%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.18 for Baniyas SC and 2.50 for Al-Wasl FC. Recent form shows Baniyas SC struggling with six consecutive losses, while Al-Wasl FC has been more consistent, with two wins in their last three matches.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is 71%, and the probability of both teams scoring is 64%. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one win. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the forecasted outcomes.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Baniyas SC and Al-Wasl FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Baniyas SC and Al-Wasl FC attack and defence ratings
Baniyas SC
Al-Wasl FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Wasl FC | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Wasl FC win | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baniyas SC | 15.5% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Al-Wasl FC | 65.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% |
| No | 35.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Wasl FC win | 44.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 34.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.2% | |
| 0-2 | 7.9% |
Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC stats
Baniyas SC and Al-Wasl FC recent form
| Baniyas SC |
DLLLLL |
| Al-Wasl FC |
DWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Baniyas SC | Al-Wasl FC | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Al-Wasl FC | Baniyas SC | United Arab Emirates Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.