Garuda Lions
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United Arab Emirates Pro League · ·Matchday 8

Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC

Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Jazira

2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Al-Jazira is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Al-Jazira

Mohammad Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Al-Jazira 41%
Draw 25%
Al-Wasl FC 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Al-Jazira wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
71%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-JaziraDrawAl-Wasl FC
Model38.1%23.6%38.3%
Market42.5%26.1%31.5%
Final41.4%25.5%33.2%
Edge-1.1%-0.6%+1.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.21, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.6% per unit staked (our 41.4% × 2.21 − 1).

Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC match preview

In the upcoming match between Al-Jazira and Al-Wasl FC, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Al-Jazira holding a 41% chance of winning, while Al-Wasl FC stands at 33%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Al-Jazira, with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to be evenly matched, as reflected in the expected goals, with each team projected to score 1.81.

Recent form shows Al-Jazira with a sequence of results including three wins and two draws, while Al-Wasl FC has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. In their last two head-to-head meetings, Al-Wasl FC has emerged victorious on both occasions, which may influence the dynamics of this match. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, at 70% and 71%, respectively.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Jazira ↓ / Al-Wasl FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Al-Jazira and Al-Wasl FC expected goals

Al-Jazira 1.81
Al-Wasl FC 1.81

Total expected goals: 3.62

Al-Jazira and Al-Wasl FC attack and defence ratings

Al-Jazira

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Al-Wasl FC

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

United Arab Emirates Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Jazira 41.4% 2.42 -1.1% 2.21
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.1% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.9% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.9% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Jazira41.4%
Draw25.5%
Al-Wasl FC33.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.1%
Under 2.529.9%
Both teams to scoreYes70.9%
No29.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.8%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)58.6%
Handicap -1Al-Jazira win20.5%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss61.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
1-27.9%
2-17.9%
Compare prices for this pick

Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC stats

Al-Jazira and Al-Wasl FC recent form

newest first
Al-Jazira DDWWWW
Al-Wasl FC WDWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Jazira and Al-Wasl FC season so far

league record

Al-Jazira record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Al-Wasl FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.3 on the road.

Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Al-Jazira wins 3Draws 5Al-Wasl FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-11Al-JaziraAl-Wasl FCUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-2
2026-01-17Al-Wasl FCAl-JaziraUnited Arab Emirates Pro League1-0
2025-11-30Al-Wasl FCAl-JaziraLeague Cup1-2
2025-11-16Al-JaziraAl-Wasl FCLeague Cup0-0
2025-04-07Al-JaziraAl-Wasl FCPro League0-5
2025-03-22Al-JaziraAl-Wasl FCLeague Cup3-1
2025-03-17Al-Wasl FCAl-JaziraLeague Cup1-0
2024-10-31Al-Wasl FCAl-JaziraPro League2-2
2024-04-26Al-Wasl FCAl-JaziraPro League2-2
2024-04-02Al-JaziraAl-Wasl FCPresidents Cup0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Jazira vs Al-Wasl FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 26.1%, away 31.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.13 3.45 2.89
Bet365 2.10 3.50 2.80
BetVictor 2.15 3.50 2.90
Betano 2.18 3.50 3.00
Betfair 2.10 3.50 2.90
Dafabet 2.17 3.55 3.00
Marathonbet 2.11 3.45 2.82
Pinnacle 2.21 3.60 3.03
William Hill 2.15 3.30 2.90
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Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.02
X 3.50 ▲ +0.05
2 2.90 —

11 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Al-Jazira Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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